Wolverines vs. Vols Prediction 3/19/22

by | Mar 18, 2022 | cbb

Michigan Wolverines (18-14 SU, 14-18-0 ATS) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (27-7 SU, 21-13-0 ATS)

When: Saturday March 19 2022, 5:15 PM PM (ET)

Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Point Spread: Michigan +5.5/Tennessee -5.5 (Everygame - They offer a 200% bonus on your first deposit of $25! Worth checking out!)

Total: 136

Money Line: Wolverines +190/Tennessee -240

Key Injuries

Michigan
DeVante’ Jones: Concussion (OUT)

Tennessee
Olivier Nkamhoua: Ankle (OUT)

Recent Form

The Michigan Wolverines come into this matchup with an overall record of 18-14. On the season, the Wolverines have performed well in their 11 non-conference games, posting a record of 7-4. So far, the team is 3-2 in games played at neutral sites. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 3-2.

The Tennessee Volunteers get set to host the Wolverines with an overall record of 27-7. On the season, the Volunteers have performed well in their 13 non-conference games, posting a record of 10-3. When playing at neutral sites, the Volunteers are 5-2. Heading into this matchup, the Volunteers are looking to pick up their 9th straight win.

For the season, the Michigan Wolverines are averaging 73.1 points per game, good for a rank of 94th in the NCAA. Defensively, the Wolverines are the 173rd ranked scoring defense at 69.7 points per game. On the other side, the Tennessee Volunteers are the 76th ranked scoring offense, averaging 73.6 points per game while giving up an average of 62.6

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Efficiency Outlook

Michigan comes into this matchup as the more efficient scoring team. In these games, the Wolverines have a record of 13-7 on an average scoring margin of 7.0. Even though Tennessee trails Michigan on the offensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on defense. So far, the Volunteers are 26-5 with an edge in defensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 12.0.

For the year, the Wolverines are well below the NCAA average in percentage of points from made three-point shots, sitting at just 25.8%. This is unlike the Volunteers, who have relied on made three-pointers for 36.3% of their scoring this year.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Wolverines are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog.
  • Wolverines are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 neutral site games.
  • Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

There’s enough supporting evidence to make a heavy bet on the Vols here simply based on the fact that Michigan has allowed 45% from the field over their last five games, while the Volunteers have allowed a a paltry 36%. The Vols are my pick to win it all this season and I believe they win in convincing fashion Saturday vs. the Wolverines! Be your March Madness picks for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit if $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!