Boston College vs. Pittsburgh – Betting Preview and Spread Pick

Boston College Eagles (6-4 SU, ATS 4-4) vs Pittsburgh Panthers (2-8 SU, ATS 2-7)

Date: Thursday, November 16th

Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: BC +2.5/Pit -2.5 (Are you wagering with the best betting sites?)

Money Line: Eagles +111/Pitt -138

Over/Under: 46.5

The Boston College Eagles and Pittsburgh Panthers matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA. The over/under for this matchup is currently 46.5, while Pittsburgh is favored by -2.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

These teams did not face off last season, but looking back on their last three head-to-head games, Pittsburgh has gone 2-1. The teams split these games vs. the spread, each going 1-2. In terms of scoring, Boston College and Pittsburgh averaged 29 points and finished with an over/under record of 2-1.

Boston College Eagles Recent Form:

After their latest loss to Virginia Tech, Boston College’s overall record now stands at 6-4. The Eagles couldn’t secure the win and finished the game with a score of 48-22.

Not only did Boston College lose straight-up in this matchup, but they also lost vs. the spread as 2.5-point underdogs. Combining for 70 points, the teams exceeded the line of 48.5 points.

Quarterback Thomas Castellanos threw for one touchdown in Boston College’s loss over Virginia Tech. Overall, he had a passer rating of 43.75 while completing 50.0% of his passes for 110 yards.

Alex Broome was Boston College’s leading rusher vs. Virginia Tech, carrying the ball nine times for 56 yards and one touchdown. In the passing game, Jeremiah Franklin finished with a team-high 52 receiving yards while averaging 17.3 yards per reception.

The Eagles’ defense finished the game by giving up 600 total yards to Virginia Tech. The team’s run defense allowed 363 yards rushing compared to 237 in the passing game. The Boston College defense holds the 116th position in points allowed, allowing 28.5 points per game. Teams have an average of 187.2 passing yards per game against them (36th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 188.6 rushing yards, placing them 146th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Pittsburgh Panthers Recent Form:

Carrying an overall record of 2-8, Pittsburgh is ready to take on this game. However, their most recent contest ended in disappointment as they fell to Syracuse with a final score of 28-13.

Going into the game, Pittsburgh was favored by 3.5, giving them an ATS loss. On the over/under, the teams combined for 41, which surpassed the betting line of 37.5 points.

Against Syracuse, Christian Veilleux threw for 161 yards on a completion percentage of 59.1%. In the loss, he threw one touchdown with a passer rating of 78.03.

Pittsburgh’s leading rusher against Syracuse was Rodney Hammond Jr., who ran for 43 yards on 12 times. Rodney Hammond Jr. did not run for a score against Syracuse. In the passing game, Bub Means finished with a team-high 71 receiving yards while averaging 35.5 yards per reception.

On defense, Pittsburgh finished their game against Syracuse by giving up a total of 401 yards. Syracuse threw the ball eight times for 17 yards vs. Pittsburgh. While on the ground, the Panthers gave up 384 rushing yards. Coming into this week’s game, the Pittsburgh defense is 114th in points allowed at 28.2 points per game. So far, teams have averaged 212.7 passing yards per game vs. the unit (67th). On the ground, they are giving up 158.8 rushing yards, putting them 103rd in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• On the road, Boston College has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.
• Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS in their last home games.
• Pittsburgh’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 2-1.
• Boston College is 2-8 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Free Pick

Boston College is coming off a horrendous defensive performance, getting torched by Virginia Tech. Luckily, they are taking a Pittsburgh offense that doesn’t have the firepower to take advantage of the struggling Eagles’ defense. However, I see the oddsmakers placing too much weight on Pitt’s home-field advantage and like Boston College to cover on the road.