Clemson Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks Pick ATS 11/27/21

by | Nov 24, 2021 | cfb

Clemson Tigers (8-3 SU, 3-8-0 ATS) vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, Nov. 27th, 7:30 pm (ET)

Where: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC

TV: SEC Network

Point Spread: CLEM -11.5/SC +11.5 (Opened at 11.5 at WagerWeb - They will let you make the Tigers +8.5 or the Gamecocks +31.5 by inserting them into a massive 20 point college football teaser!)

Total: 43 (Opened at 43)

Money Line: CLEM -550/SC +371

Power Rating: CLEM -15

Key Injuries

Clemson Tigers: WR Justyn Ross *Out* (Foot), TE Braden Galloway *Out* (Shoulder), S Joseph Charleston *Out* (Undisclosed), WR Joseph Ngata *Out* (Foot), DE Justin Foster *Out* (Back), G Matt Bockhorst *Out* (Knee), WR Frank Ladson Jr. *Out* (Groin)

South Carolina Gamecocks: DB Jaylin Dickerson *Questionable* (Ankle), QB Zeb Noland *Questionable* (Knee), OL Dylan Wonnum *Questionable* (Undisclosed), DE Hot Rod Fitten *Out* (Undisclosed), WR Rico Powers *Out* (Undisclosed), TE Keveon Mullins *Out* (Undisclosed), LB Sherrod Greene *Out* (Knee)

Recent Form

The Clemson Tigers have had an uncharacteristic year with an 8-3 record. After a week one loss to Georgia, the Tigers have been unable to build any momentum. On top of their losses to NC State and Pittsburgh, Clemson nearly avoided a few other upsets as well. Clemson has a lot to play for this week as a win would put them in the ACC Championship with a Wake Forest loss. Clemson and Wake Forest would be tied, but Clemson has the head-to-head advantage from their victory last week. The Tigers offense sits barely inside the Top 100 with 362.9 YPG, but their defense is 15th in the nation with 317.9 YPG given up.

The Gamecocks enter the final week of the season with a 6-5 record and became bowl eligible in their win last week over Auburn 21-17. South Carolina’s most notable win, aside from Auburn, came over Florida a few weeks ago. While they are out of the mix in the SEC, the Gamecocks have a chance to ruin Clemson’s chances at a conference title in the ACC. South Carolina, much like Clemson, has a better defense than offense. Their offense sits outside the Top 100 at 330.7 YPG, while their defense is 48th at 357.1 YPG.

Clemson Has Something to Play For

After being a perennial team in the College Football Playoff, the Clemson Tigers are in unfamiliar territory with a #23 ranking. This season isn’t a complete loss, though, as they still have an opportunity to win an ACC Championship. A win alone won’t get them there as they sit a game back from Wake Forest, but should they win Saturday and Wake Forest loses, they would be moving in the right direction. This is just two parts of the equation as NC State has the same overall and conference record as Clemson as well as the head-to-head win from earlier in the season. Clemson will need NC State to lose to North Carolina this week as well. While all of this sounds like a lot of hoops for the Tigers to jump through, I think this gives them that much more motivation to not only win this game but win it dominantly.

Clemson Has Owned South Carolina

Over the years, this matchup of two South Carolina teams has seen the Clemson Tigers on top. Going into Saturday, Clemson has won six straight games, all of which by a large margin. The closest game was back in 2015 by a score of 37-32. The following year in 2016, was the largest margin in a 56-7 final. While Clemson is not the same team they were in years past, they still are the best team top to bottom, hence the 11.5-point spread. This game certainly has the makings of being another Clemson victory, but will the 11.5-point spread be too much for them to cover?

Clemson Struggles to Cover

While an 8-3 record looks good on paper, betting in favor of Clemson has left some folks this year with some empty pockets. The Tigers have just a 3-8 record ATS this season and see another large spread to cover this week. Many of the Tigers games, win or lose, have come down to the 4th quarter, where they’ve had to overcome deficits, which makes it hard to cover as a heavy favorite. Looking specifically at this matchup, Clemson is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games at the Gamecocks. Mind you, this 2-5 record was with arguably much better teams than they will take the field with this Saturday. Clemson has the coaching and players to win big, but their trends have shown that this season and their history with the Gamecocks prove otherwise. While the trends are against them, what is at stake may be enough motivation to give them their biggest win of the season.

The Historicals

As mentioned above, the Tigers hold a six-game win streak over the Gamecocks going into this matchup. These teams did not play in the 2020 shortened season, so looking back at the 2019 game, we saw a 38-3 final.

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How the Public is Betting the Tigers vs. Gamecocks

52% are betting the Tigers to cover the spread.

67% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 43.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The Clemson Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
  • The Clemson Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their previous eight games against SEC opponents.
  • The South Carolina Gamecocks are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
  • The South Carolina Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their previous five games against ACC opponents.
  • Over is 3-0-1 in Clemson’s last four games overall and as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-1 in South Carolina’s last five games as an underdog.
  • The favorite is 5-2 in the previous seven games between these teams.
  • The Under is 4-1 in the last five games between these teams.

Collin’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The writing is in the stars for Clemson to end their season with a win and put themselves in another ACC Championship with some help from other games. For a team who has struggled to cover this season, saying I was “on the fence” to take Clemson to cover in this one would be an understatement. Given that the Tigers haven’t played to their full potential this season and have a lot to play for, I think we see the best offensive effort of the year from QB D.J. Uiagalelei, and he ends his sophomore season with a big win on the road. Take the Clemson Tigers to cover the 11.5-point spread. Bet your Clemson/USC pick and ALL your Week 13 college football picks for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!

Fargo's CFB Game of the Year (32-23 Run) Sat

Matt Fargo Pro Handicapper

Matt is on a 9-5 CFB Run the last two weeks while going 32-23 in CFB since October! The final week of the regular season is here and Fargo is unleashing his CFB Game of the Year! He is ready for a MASSIVE end to November and if you make one move Saturday, this is the one! Do not miss out!