Hawaii vs Fresno State Week 10 Picks & Predictions

by | Nov 3, 2022 | cfb

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-7 SU, ATS 5-3) vs Fresno State Bulldogs (4-4 SU, ATS
2-5)

Date: Saturday, November 5th

Location: Bulldog Stadium (CA), Fresno, CA

TV: FS2

Point Spread: Rainbow Warriors +23.5/Bulldogs -23.5 (Bovada – If you live bet games, you gotta check out their platform! It’s HEAD-AND-SHOULDERS above the rest! 50% bonus too!)

Money Line: Rainbow Warriors +1094/Bulldogs -2477

Over/Under: 58.5

RECENT FORM

The Rainbow Warriors head into this week’s matchup with an overall record of 2-7. So far, they
are just 1-3 in Mountain West play. This season, the Rainbow Warriors have been favored in 1 game
while posting an ATS mark of 5-3. Their average over-under betting line is 48.67 leading to an
over-under record of 2-6-0.

The Rainbow Warriors are coming off a 27-20 loss to Wyoming. But they did manage to cover the
spread as the 11.5-point underdogs. The team finished the game by throwing for 2 touchdown
passes. Overall, the Rainbow Warriors had 205 passing yards on a completion percentage of 50.0%.
In the rushing game, the Rainbow Warriors did not find the endzone, finishing with a total of 145
yards on the ground.

The team’s leading quarterback is Brayden Schager, who comes into the game with a passer
rating of 71.4. Heading into this week’s game, he has a total of 1406 passing yards. Receiver
Zion Bowens heads into the game, as the team’s leader in receiving yards, with a total of 270.
The Rainbow Warriors have turned to running back Dedrick Parson a total of 132 times for a total
of 572 rushing yards.

This season, the Bulldogs will hope to continue their strong play against Mountain West
opponents, as they went in 3-1 in 2021. Their overall record was 4-4. This season, the Bulldogs
have been favored in 3 games while posting an ATS mark of 2-5-0. Their average over-under betting
line is 44.75 leading to an over-under record of 4-3-0.

In their previous game, Fresno State knocked off San Diego State by a score of 32-28. However,
despite the road win, the Bulldogs did not cover the spread, as they were 11.5-point favorites.
In the win, Fresno State completed 75.6 of their 45 passes, 3 of which resulted in touchdowns. On
the ground, the team ended with 1 rushing touchdown while averaging -0.1 yards per carry for a
total of -3 yards.

The team’s leading quarterback is Jake Haener, who comes into the game with a passer rating of
104.53 on a completion percentage of 72.7%. [‘However, Hawaii will need to replace his
production, as he is listed as out on the injury report.’] Receiver Jalen Cropper heads into the
game, as the team’s leader in receiving yards, with a total of 568. The Rainbow Warriors have
turned to running back Jordan Mims a total of 142 times for a total of 671 rushing yards.

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BETTING TRENDS

The Rainbow Warriors come into this week’s game having covered just 30.0% of their last 10
games. Their overall record in these games is just 3-7-0. The team averaged 20.3 points in these
games while allowing 31.7. Their last 10 over-under record is 3-7-0.

In their last 5 games away from home, the Rainbow Warriors have a straight-up record of 1-4-0
while going 4-1-0 vs the spread. The team averaged 20.2 points per game in this stretch.

In their last 10 contests, the Bulldogs have a straight-up record of 6-4-0, while covering the
spread at a rate of 60.0%. The team’s average scoring differential was 5.3, as they averaged 27.9
points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 22.6. Their last 10 over-under record is
5-5-0.

Across their last 5 home contests, Fresno State has been good against the spread posting a
mark of 1-4-0. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1-0 while averaging 29.4 points per
game.

More Picks: Get Dan’s ‘Clemson at Notre Dame Week 10 best bet >>>

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Rainbow Warriors will look to improve their offensive
output, as they are ranked just 119th in the NCAA in points scored and are facing a Fresno State
defense that is allowing an average of 24.12 points per game and has had its problems getting off
the field on third down.

So far, the Hawaii offense is averaging just 131.22 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 30.67 rush attempts per game (117th). This week, the Rainbow
Warriors will be facing a Fresno State defense ranked 126th in rush yards allowed per game. This
year, they have averaged 130.12 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top
50.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Bulldogs will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 87th in the NCAA in points scored.

Although Fresno State has struggled to move the chains on 3rd down throughout the season, they
have a chance to take advantage against a Hawaii defense that is allowing an average of 33.67
points per game and has had its problems getting off the field on third down.

One aspect of the game that could benefit a Fresno State offense that struggles to generate
big plays in the passing attack is that they are facing off a Hawaii defense that has yet to
generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. So far, the Rainbow Warriors are just 168th
in sacks per game.

So far, the Fresno State offense is averaging just 122.12 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 33.38 rush attempts per game (95th). This week, the Bulldogs
will be facing a Hawaii defense that is ranked 192nd in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they
are averaging 129.6 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

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