Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes Best Bet 9/10/22

by | Sep 7, 2022 | cfb

Iowa State Cyclones vs Iowa Hawkeyes
Date: Saturday, September 10th
Location: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA
TV: BTN
Point Spread: Cyclones +3.5 / Hawkeyes -3.5
Money Line: Cyclones +143 / Hawkeyes -178
Over/Under: 41.5

RECENT FORM

This season, the Cyclones have an overall record of 1-0 and have yet to play a game in the Big
12. This year, Iowa State will look to play better on the road, as they finished the season with
a below .500 record at 2-4. In their last 3 road games, they posted an ATS mark of 2-4.

In the win, Iowa State completed 80.6% of their 31 passes, 4 of which resulted in touchdowns.
The team ended the game with 2 rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 176 yards on the
ground.

So far, quarterback Hunter Dekkers has a passer rating of 132.19 while completing 25 of his 31
attempts. Currently, he has a total of 293 passing yards. Through the air, the team will be
looking for a big game from leading receiver Xavier Hutchinson. On the season, he has caught 8
for 128 yards. The Cyclones have turned to running back Jirehl Brock a total of 16 times for a
total of 104 rushing yards.

So far, the Hawkeyes have an overall record of 1-0 and have not played a game in the Big Ten.
Last year, the Hawkeyes were an above .500 team at home, going 6-2. Across their last 3 home
games, they had an ATS record of 1-1-1.

In their previous game, Iowa knocked off South Dakota State by a score of 7-3. However,
despite the road win, the Hawkeyes did not cover the spread, as they were 10.5-point favorites.
For the game, Iowa threw for 109 yards, but did not come up with a passing touchdown. Their
overall completion percentage came in at 44.0%. In the rushing game, the Hawkeyes did not find
the endzone while finishing with a total of 57 yards on the ground.

Spencer Petras heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer rating
of 40.25 on a total of 109 yards through the air. Through the air, the team will be looking for a
big game from leading receiver Arland Bruce IV. On the season, he has caught 5 for 68 yards. The
Cyclones have turned to running back Leshon Williams a total of 24 times for a total of 72
rushing yards.

BETTING TRENDS

In their last 10 contests, the Cyclones have a straight up record of 6-4-0, while covering the
spread at a rate of 60.0%. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at 5-5-0. Iowa State has a
positive scoring differential in these games, averaging 33.9 points per game and allowing
20.6.

Over their last 10 games, the Hawkeyes have covered the spread at a rate of 60.0%. In these
games, they posted a straight-up mark of 6-4-0. The team’s average scoring differential was -4.5,
as they averaged 16.9 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 21.4 points. Their
last 10 over-under record is 5-5-0.

More Picks: Kentucky at Florida Point Spread & Game 2 Prediction

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into the game, the Cyclones are ranked 35th in points per game.

So far, the Cyclones are averaging 293.0 yards per game through the air, placing them 38th in
the country. This week, the Cyclones will be facing an Iowa defense that finished 74th in pass
yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 265.36 yards per game when facing defenses
ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the Iowa State offense is averaging just 176.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 36.0 rush attempts per game (65th). This week, the Cyclones
will be facing an Iowa defense that finished 32nd in rush yards allowed per game. Last year, they
averaged 143.2 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.

The Cyclones will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 24th in
points allowed at 10.0 points per game allowed.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Hawkeyes will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 125th in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, the Hawkeyes have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just
109.0 passing yards per game. This week, the Hawkeyes will be facing an Iowa State defense that
finished 30th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 162.8 yards per game when
facing top 25 pass defenses.

So far, the Iowa offense is averaging just 57.0 yards per game on the ground. This production
has come on an average of 36.0 rush attempts per game (64th). This week, the Hawkeyes will be
facing an Iowa State defense that finished 48th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year, they
averaged 84.8 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.

The Hawkeyes will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 13th in
points allowed at 3.0 points per game allowed.

FREE NCAAF PICK

Iowa State +3.5

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