Kentucky Wildcats vs Florida Gators Recommended Bet

by | Sep 7, 2022 | cfb

Kentucky Wildcats vs Florida Gators
Date: Saturday, September 10th
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: Wildcats +5.0 / Gators -5.0
Money Line: Wildcats +170 / Gators -210
Over/Under: 52.5

RECENT FORM

So far this season, the Wildcats have posted a regular season record of 1-0 and will be
playing in their first SEC game. Last year, the Wildcats were an above .500 team on the road,
going 3-2. Across their last 3 road games, they had an ATS record of 1-2-0.

This week, the Wildcats will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 37-13 win
over Miami (OH). With the 24-point victory, Kentucky also covered the spread. In the win,
Kentucky completed 65.6% of their 32 passes, 3 of which resulted in touchdowns. In the rushing
game, the Wildcats did not find the endzone while finishing with a total of 50 yards on the
ground.

So far, quarterback Will Levis has a passer rating of 114.45 while completing 21 of his 32
attempts. Currently, he has a total of 303 passing yards. Tayvion Robinson leads the team’s
receiving corps with 6 catches for a total of 136 yards. The top option in the run game for the
team is Kavosiey Smoke, who has carried the ball 7 times for a total of 32 yards.

The Gators come into the game with an overall record of 1-0. This week will be their first
matchup in the SEC. Last year, the Gators were an above .500 team at home, going 5-2. Across
their last 3 home games, they had an ATS record of 0-3-0.

In their previous game, the Gators picked up a 29-26 road win over Utah. This was an
impressive victory as they were also the 2.5 point underdogs. To finish the game, the Gators had
a yards per completion figure of 9.9 and a total of 168 yards through the air. However, they did
not come up with a touchdown pass through the air. The team ended the game with 4 rushing
touchdowns, along with a total of 283 yards on the ground.

Anthony Richardson heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer
rating of 90.28 on a total of 168 yards through the air. Wide receiver Ricky Pearsall, has come
up with the most production for the team, with a total of 67 receiving yards. The top option in
the run game for the team is Montrell Johnson Jr., who has carried the ball 12 times for a total
of 75 yards.

BETTING TRENDS

Against the spread, Kentucky have gone 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. Over this same period,
their straight up record is 7-3-0. On offense, the team averaged 33.3 points per game while
allowing 22.4. Their over-under mark (last 10) is 5-5-0.

In their last 10 contests, the Gators have a straight up record of 4-6-0, while covering the
spread at a rate of 40.0%. The team’s average scoring differential was -1.1, as they averaged
28.4 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 29.5 points. Their last 10
over-under record is 4-6-0.

More Picks: Arizona State at Oklahoma State 9/10/22 Best Bet

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Wildcats will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked 54th in the NCAA in points scored.

So far, the Wildcats are averaging 303.0 yards per game through the air, placing them 34th in
the country. This week, the Wildcats will be facing a Florida defense that finished 38th in pass
yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 127.0 yards per game when facing top 25 pass
defenses.

So far, the Kentucky offense is averaging just 50.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 26.0 rush attempts per game (123rd). This week, the Wildcats
will be facing a Florida defense that finished 88th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year,
they averaged 249.22 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Going into the game, the Wildcats’ defensive unit is 43rd in the NCAA in points allowed per
game at 13.0.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Gators will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 79th in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, the Gators have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 168.0
passing yards per game. This week, the Gators will be facing a Kentucky defense that finished
90th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 268.1 yards per game when facing
defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

On the ground, the Florida offense is averaging 283.0 yards per game, good for 14th in the
country. This has come while ranking 46th in attempts at 39.0 per game. This week, the Gators
will be facing a Kentucky defense that finished 28th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year,
they averaged 189.5 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.

Heading into the game, the Gators will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they
are currently 77th at 26.0 points per game allowed.

FREE NCAAF PICK

Florida Gators -5

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