Arizona State vs Oklahoma State Analysis & Predictions

by | Sep 7, 2022 | cfb

Arizona State Sun Devils vs Oklahoma State Cowboys

Date: Saturday, September 10th

Location: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK

TV: ESN2

Point Spread: Sun Devils 11.0 / Cowboys -11.0 (Betonline - Check out their $500K NFL Handicapping Contest and 200K Survivor Pool!)

Money Line: Sun Devils 320 / Cowboys -430

Over/Under: 54.5

RECENT FORM

This season, the Sun Devils have an overall record of 1-0 and have yet to play a game in the
Pac-12. This year, Arizona State will look to play better on the road, as they finished the
season with a below .500 record at 2-3. In their last 3 road games, they posted an ATS mark of
2-3.

This week, the Sun Devils will look to pick up another win, as they are coming off a 40-3 win
over Northern Arizona. With the 37 point victory, Arizona State also covered the spread. For the
game, Arizona State threw for 152 yards but did not come up with a passing touchdown. Their
overall completion percentage came in at 72.2%. The team ended the game with 4 rushing
touchdowns, along with a total of 267 yards on the ground.

This year, the teams leading quarterback is Emory Jones, with a total of 152 through the air.
So far, he has yet to throw an interception or a touchdown. So far, the team’s most productive
wide receiver is Elijhah Badger, who has caught 4 passes for a total of 38 yards. The top option
in the run game for the team is Xazavian Valladay, who has carried the ball 15 times for a total
of 116 yards.

So far, the Cowboys have an overall record of 1-0 and have not played a game in the Big 12.
Last year, the Cowboys were an above .500 team at home, going 7-1. Across their last 3 home
games, they had an ATS record of 3-0-0.

In their previous game, Oklahoma State knocked off Central Michigan by a score of 58-44.
However, despite the road win, the Cowboys did not cover the spread, as they were 20.5 point
favorites. The team finished the game throwing for 4 touchdown passes. Overall, the Cowboys had
406 passing yards on a completion percentage of 68.3%. The team ended the game with 4 rushing
touchdowns, along with a total of 125 yards on the ground.

Heading into the matchup, Spencer Sanders has an overall passer rating of 132.77 on a total of
406 yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. So far, the team’s most
productive wide receiver is Braydon Johnson, who has caught 6 passes for a total of 133 yards.
The Sun Devils have turned to running back Dominic Richardson a total of 9 times for a total of
61 rushing yards.

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BETTING TRENDS

Over their last 10 games, the Sun Devils have covered the spread at a rate of 60.0%. In these
games, they posted a straight up mark of 6-4-0. The team’s average scoring differential was 6.9,
as they averaged 27.9 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 21.0. Their last
10 over-under record is 5-5-0.

Against the spread, Oklahoma State have gone 7-3-0 in their last 10 games. Over this same
period, their straight up record is 8-2-0. On average, the team scored 36.6 points while allowing
20.4, leading to a positive scoring differential.

More Picks: Arkansas State at Ohio State Point Spread Pick for 9/10/22

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into the game, the Sun Devils are ranked 43rd in points per game.

This season, Arizona State has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just
152.0 passing yards per game. This week, the Sun Devils will be facing an Oklahoma State defense
that finished 26th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 172.0 yards per game
when facing top 25 pass defenses.

So far, Arizona State has relied heavily on the ground game, as they rank 13th in attempts per
game, with an average of 49.0. This heavy usage has led to an average of 267.0 rush yards per
game, placing them 19th in the NCAA. This week, the Sun Devils will be facing an Oklahoma State
defense that finished 11th in rush yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 161.75 yards
per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.

The Sun Devils will look to once again play well defensively, as they are currently 11th in
points allowed at 3.0 points per game allowed.

So far, the Cowboys are averaging 58.0 points per game on offense, which is good for 10th most
in college football.

In the passing game, the Cowboys are currently one of the leading groups in the country, at
406.0 yards per game through the air. This week, the Cowboys will be facing an Arizona State
defense that finished 57th in pass yards allowed per game. Last year, they averaged 221.15 yards
per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the Oklahoma State offense is averaging just 125.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 32.0 rush attempts per game (88th). This week, the Cowboys
will be facing an Arizona State defense that finished 56th in rush yards allowed per game. Last
year, they averaged 212.56 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Cowboys will hope for some improved play from their defense, as
they are currently 118th at 44.0 points per game allowed.

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