Mississippi State vs LSU Odds & Pick ATS

by | Sep 13, 2022 | cfb

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers

Date: Saturday, September 17th

Location: Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: MSU -2.0/LSU 2.0 (BAS - They let you bet on games at -105 instead of -110!)

Money Line: Miss St. -135/Louisiana St. +108

Over/Under: 54.0

RECENT FORM

This year, Bulldogs have an overall record of 2-0. The team will be playing its first game in
the SEC. Last year, the Bulldogs were an above .500 team on the road, going 3-2. Across their
last 3 road games, they had an ATS record of 2-1-0.

In their previous game, the Bulldogs picked up a 39-17 road win over Arizona. Heading into the
game, the team was 11.5-point favorites. In the win, Mississippi State completed 80.0% of their
50 passes, 4 of which resulted in touchdowns. On the ground, the team ended with 1 rushing
touchdown while averaging 4.4 yards per carry for a total of 106 yards.

Heading into the matchup, Will Rogers has an overall passer rating of 121.22 on a total of 763
yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Wide receiver Rara Thomas,
has come up with the most production for the team, with a total of 144 receiving yards. The top
option in the run game for the team is Dillon Johnson, who has carried the ball 25 times for a
total of 127 yards.

This year, Tigers have an overall record of 1-1. The team will be playing its first game in
the SEC. Last year, the Tigers were an above .500 team at home, going 5-2. Across their last 3
home games, they had an ATS record of 1-2-0.

The Bulldogs head into this week’s game looking to pick up another win after they most
recently defeated Southern by a score of 65-17. In the win, LSU completed 67.6 of their 34
passes, 3 of which resulted in touchdowns. The team ended the game with 5 rushing touchdowns,
along with a total of 230 yards on the ground.

The team’s leading quarterback is Jayden Daniels, who comes into the game with a passer rating
of 134.24 on a completion percentage of 78.3%. So far, the team’s most productive wide receiver
is Malik Nabers, who has caught 8 passes for a total of 115 yards. The top option in the run game
for the team is Armoni Goodwin, who has carried the ball 17 times for a total of 99 yards.

BETTING TRENDS

Against the spread, the Bulldogs have gone 7-3-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up, they
have a record of 6-4-0. On average, the team scored 32.7 points while allowing 25.2, leading to a
positive scoring differential.

Through their last 10 matchups, LSU has gone 4-6-0 straight up and 4-5-1 vs the spread. They
maintained a positive scoring differential in these games by averaging 27.6 per game and allowing
27.2. Their last 10 over-under record is 5-5-0.

Toledo at Ohio State Odds, Analysis, Best Bet 9/17/22

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

So far, the Bulldogs are averaging 44.0 points per game on offense, which is good for 24th
most in college football.

In the passing game, the Bulldogs are currently one of the leading groups in the country, at
385.0 yards per game through the air. This week, the Bulldogs will be facing an LSU defense that
is ranked 109th in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 450.0 yards per game
when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the Mississippi State offense is averaging just 101.5 yards per game on the ground.
This production has come on an average of 29.0 rush attempts per game (117th). This week, the
Bulldogs will be facing an LSU defense ranked 69th in rush yards allowed per game. This year,
they have averaged 101.5 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Going into the game, the Bulldogs’ defensive unit is 49th in the NCAA in points allowed per
game at 20.0.

So far, the Tigers are averaging 44.0 points per game on offense, which is good for the 23rd
most in college football.

This season, the Tigers have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 264.5
passing yards per game. This week, the Tigers will be facing a Mississippi State defense that is
ranked 77th in pass yards allowed per game. This year, they are averaging 264.5 yards per game
when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, the LSU offense is averaging just 184.5 yards per game on the ground. This production
has come on an average of 33.0 rush attempts per game (91st). This week, the Tigers will be
facing a Mississippi State defense that is ranked 26th in rush yards allowed per game. So far,
they have noted face a defense ranked inside the top 50 rush defense.

Heading into the game, the Tigers will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they
are currently 54th at 20.5 points per game allowed.

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