NC State Wolfpack vs Syracuse Orange Odds, Trends, Predictions

by | Oct 10, 2022 | cfb

NC State Wolfpack (5-1 SU, ATS 1-3-0) vs Syracuse Orange (5-0 SU, ATS 3-1-0)

Date: Saturday, October 15th

Location: JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, NY

TV: ACCN

Point Spread: Wolfpack +4.5/Orange -4.5 (Wagerweb – Make NC State a +24.5 underdog or Syracuse a +15.5 underdog by adding either into a massive 20 point college football teaser!)

Money Line: Wolfpack +158/Orange -197

Over/Under: 44

RECENT FORM

The Wolfpack come into the game with a 1-1 in Atlantic Coast play. Overall, they have a mark
of 5-1. This season, the Wolfpack have been favored in 3 games while posting an ATS mark of
1-3-0. Their average over-under betting line is 33.92 leading to an over-under record of
1-3-0.

In their most recent game, the Wolfpack defeated Florida State by a score of 19-17. But, they
were unable to grab the ATS win, as their 2-point win was not enough to cover the spread. In the
game, NC State finished with 1 touchdown through the air while throwing for 125 yards. In the
rushing game, the Wolfpack did not find the endzone, finishing with a total of 182 yards on the
ground.

So far, quarterback Devin Leary has a passer rating of 90.71 while completing 118 of his 193
attempts. Currently, he has a total of 1265 passing yards. Thayer Thomas leads the team’s
receiving corps with 24 catches for a total of 301 yards. The Wolfpack have turned to running
back Demie Sumo-Karngbaye a total of 52 times for a total of 299 rushing yards.

This year, Orange have an overall record of 5-0. In addition, they have also played well in
the Atlantic Coast, going 2-0. This season, the Orange have been favored in 3 game while posting
an ATS mark of 3-1-0. Their average over-under betting line is 43.7 leading to an over-under
record of 2-2-0.

The Orange head into this week’s game looking to pick up another win after they most recently
defeated Wagner by a score of 59-0. The team finished the game throwing for 2 touchdown passes.
Overall, the Orange had 243 passing yards on a completion percentage of 100.0%. The team ended
the game with 5 rushing touchdowns, along with a total of 388 yards on the ground.

So far, quarterback Garrett Shrader has a passer rating of 124.26 while completing 90 of his
127 attempts. Through the air, the team will be looking for a big game from leading receiver,
Oronde Gadsden II. On the season, he has caught 23 for 366 yards. The Wolfpack have turned to
running back Sean Tucker a total of 110 times for a total of 546 rushing yards.

BETTING TRENDS

In their last 10 games, NC State have covered the spread at a rate of 80.0%, while putting
together a straight up record of 8-2-0. The team’s average scoring differential was 12.8, as they
averaged 32.8 points per game. Defensively, they allowed an average of 20.0. Their last 10
over-under record is 6-4-0.

Through their last 5 road contests, the Wolfpack offense has averaged 28.2 points per game
while allowing an average of 28. NC State posted an overall record of 2-3-0 while going 1-4-0
ATS.

Syracuse has gone 7-3-0 over their last 10 contests, including posting an ATS record of 6-4-0.
The team’s average scoring differential is 6.3, as they averaged 28.8 points per game.
Defensively, they allowed an average of 22.5. Their last 10 over-under record is 4-6-0.

Across their last 5 home contests, Syracuse has been good against the spread posting a mark of
3-2-0. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1-0 while averaging 31.6 points per game.

More Picks: Maryland at Indiana Week 7 odds & predictions

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Wolfpack will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 67th in the NCAA in points scored. However, this week could be a tough
matchup, as the Syracuse defense is allowing just 14.0 points per game.

One aspect of the game that could benefit an NC State offense that struggles to generate big
plays in the passing attack is that they are facing off a Syracuse defense that has yet to
generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. So far, the Orange are just 44th in sacks
per game.

So far, the NC State offense is averaging just 141.0 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 35.17 rush attempts per game (76th). This week, the Wolfpack
will be facing a Syracuse defense that is ranked 32nd in rush yards allowed per game. So far,
they are averaging 92.67 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.

So far, the Orange are averaging 38.4 points per game on offense, which is good for the 23rd
most in college football.

This week should be an excellent matchup, as NC State’s defense is allowing just 15.67 points
per contest.

Although the Orange have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate this season,
they have an opportunity to find success through the air vs a NC State defense allowing teams to
complete passes at a rate of 69.42%.

So far, the Syracuse offense is near the NCAA average in rushing, averaging 190.4 yards per
game on the ground. This year, they have handed the ball off an average of 40.6 times per game,
placing them 26th in the country, and face off against an NC State defense that is ranked 55th in
rush yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 206.75 yards per game when facing
defenses ranked outside the top 50.

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