Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Air Force Falcons Analysis & Top Rated Bet

by | Sep 19, 2022 | cfb

Nevada Wolf Pack 2-2 SU / ATS 2-2-0 vs Air Force Falcons 2-1 SU / ATS 1-2-0
Date: Friday, September 23rd
Location: Falcon Stadium, Usaf Academy, CO
TV: FS1
Point Spread: Wolf Pack +25/Falcons -25 (Bovada - 50% bonus! Rebates on ALL your bets; win or lose! BEST live betting platform on the planet! FAST crypto payouts! What more could you ask for?)
Money Line: Wolf Pack +1362/Falcons -4416
Over/Under: 49.5

RECENT FORM

This season, the Wolf Pack have an overall mark of 2-2 and will be kicking off their first
game in the Mountain West. This season, the Wolf Pack have been favored in 2 game while posting
an ATS mark of 2-2-0. Their average over-under betting line is 50.12 leading to an over-under
record of 2-2-0.

In their last game, Nevada entered as the 24.0 point underdogs vs Iowa. The Wolf Pack ended up
losing the game by a score of 27-0. Nevada ended the game with a total of 82 passing yards on 28
attempts. However, they did not find the endzone. In the rushing game, the Wolf Pack did not find
the endzone, while finishing with a total of 69 yards on the ground.

Heading into the matchup, Nate Cox has an overall passer rating of 84.87 on a total of 372
yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Jamaal Bell leads the team’s
receiving corps with 17 catches for a total of 116 yards. The Wolf Pack have turned to running
back Toa Taua a total of 78 times for a total of 277 rushing yards.

The Falcons head into the game with an overall record of 2-1. So far, they are 0-1 in the
Mountain West and have an ATS record of 1-2-0. This has come while being the
underdog in each of their games. The team’s over-under mark currently sits at 2-1-0 on an average
point total betting line of 47.83.

Air Force is coming off a 3 point loss to Wyoming by a score of 17-14. The Falcons entered the
game as 16.5 point home underdogs, making this an ATS loss. In the win, Air Force completed 50.0
of their 14 passes, 2 of which resulted in touchdowns. In the rushing game, the Falcons did not
find the endzone, while finishing with a total of 171 yards on the ground.

So far, quarterback Haaziq Daniels has a passer rating of 114.67 while completing 11 of his 25
attempts. Wide receiver Dane Kinamon, has come up with the most production for the team, with a
total of 88 receiving yards. The team’s injury report lists him as questionable (Undisclosed).
The top option in the run game for the team is Brad Roberts, who has carried the ball 48 times
for a total of 342 yards.

NCAA Football Betting Guide

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BETTING TRENDS

Over their last 10 games, the Wolf Pack have covered the spread at a rate of 50.0%. In these
games, they posted a straight up mark of 5-5-0. The team averaged 31.6 points in these games,
while allowing 27.8. Their over-under record was 6-4-0.

Against the spread, Air Force have gone 7-3-0 in their last 10 games. Over this same period,
their straight up record is 7-3-0. On offense, the team averaged 31.0 points per-game while
allowing 20.4. Their over-under mark (last 10) is 6-4-0.

More College Football Picks: Get our Kent State at Georgia Point Spread Pick for 9/24/22

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Wolf Pack will look to improve their offensive output,
as they are ranked just 95th in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, Nevada has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 151.5
passing yards per-game. This week, the Wolf Pack will be facing a Air Force defense ranked 9th in
pass yards allowed per-game. So far, they are averaging 80.0 yards per-game when facing top 25
pass defenses.

Although Nevada is ranked 17th in attempts per-game, they are averaging just 139.5 rush yards
per contest. This output places them 89th in the NCAA. This week, the Wolf Pack will be facing a
Air Force defense ranked 85th in rush yards allowed per-game. This year, they have averaged 163.0
yards per-game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

Heading into the game, the Wolf Pack are currently 82nd at 27.0 points-per-game allowed.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Falcons will look to improve their offensive output, as
they are ranked just 61st in the NCAA in points scored.

This season, the Falcons have struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 72.67
passing yards per-game. This week, the Falcons will be facing a Nevada defense that is ranked
88th in pass yards allowed per-game. This year, they are averaging 101.0 yards per-game when
facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.

So far, Air Force has relied heavily on the ground game, as they rank 2nd in attempts
per-game, with an average of 57.33. This heavy usage, has led to an average of 396.0 rush yards
per-game, placing them 1st in the NCAA. This week, the Falcons will be facing a Nevada defense
that is 14th in rush yards allowed per-game. So far, they have averaged 582.0 yards per-game when
facing top 25 rush defenses.

Going into the game, the Falcons defensive unit is 29th in the NCAA in points allowed per-game
at 14.67.

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