Ohio at Bowling Green Pick – Lay the Lumber

by | Last updated Sep 20, 2023 | cfb

The Ohio Bobcats and Bowling Green Falcons matchup in a Mid-American showdown at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Bowling Green, OH. The over/under for this matchup is currently 46, while Ohio is favored by -12.

Ohio Bobcats (3-1 SU, ATS 2-1) vs Bowling Green Falcons (1-2 SU, ATS 0-2)

Date: Saturday, September 23rd

Location: Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH


Point Spread: OU-12/BG +12 (Check out our list of 100% bonuses!)

Money Line: Ohio -522/Bowling Green +389

Over/Under: 46

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The last time Ohio and Bowling Green faced off came last year, ending in a 38-14 win for Ohio. Ohio’s rushing attack finished with 188 rushing yards and averaged 3.5 yards per attempt. Defensively, they gave up 279 yards of offense to Bowling Green.

Ohio Bobcats Recent Form:

Ohio’s 10-7 win against Iowa State has propelled their record to 3-1 as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Bowling Green.

Going into the game, the over/under line was 42.5 points, which the teams did not surpass. Against the spread, Ohio picked up a win as 2.0-point underdogs.

In the win vs. Iowa State, quarterback Kurtis Rourke concluded with a QB rating of 71.74, connecting on 16 of 32 passes for 135 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

In addition to his work in the passing game against Iowa State, Kurtis Rourke led the team in rushing yards, with 58 on seven attempts. The team’s leading receiver was Sam Wiglusz, who contributed one touchdown and caught five balls for 53 yards.

Against Iowa State the Bobcats’ defense was excellent against Iowa State, giving up just 7 points on 271 yards allowed. Iowa State’s passing game finished with 233 yards. Up-front, Ohio gave up 1.7 yards per attempt. The Ohio defense holds the 25th position in points allowed, allowing 11.8 points per game. Teams have an average of 187.2 passing yards per game against them (50th nationally). In terms of rushing, they’ve given up 58 rushing yards, placing them 9th in college football.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
CJ Harris QB Undisclosed Out

Best Parlays

2 Team Parlay 3 Team Parlay 4 Team Parlay
sportsbetting 2.64 to 1 6 to 1 12.3 to 1
Bovada 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1
Mybookie 2.64 to 1 5.95 to 1 12.3 to 1

Bowling Green Falcons Recent Form:

Bowling Green comes into this game with an overall record of 1-2. In their most recent game, they fell to Michigan by a score of 31-6.

Looking at how the teams fared against the spread, Bowling Green was 40.5 point underdogs. This gave them a straight-up loss but an ATS win. As they combined for 37 points, they under-hit in this matchup.

Camden Orth finished with 91 yards against Michigan while going 8 for 11 for a completion percentage of 72.7%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

Nick Mosley carried the ball four times vs. Michigan and led the team in rushing with 33 yards, but he couldn’t find the endzone on the ground during the game. In the passing game, Odieu Hiliare finished with a team-high 37 receiving yards while averaging 18.5 yards per reception.

On defense, Bowling Green finished their game against Michigan by giving up a total of 312 yards. Michigan threw the ball 13 times for 143 vs. Bowling Green. While on the ground, the Falcons gave up 169 rushing yards. Bowling Green’s defense sits at 52nd for points allowed, allowing 26.7 points per game. So far, teams have averaged 178.7 passing yards per game against them (45th nationally). On the ground, they’re yielding 163.3 rushing yards, ranking them 106th in college football.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Levi Gazarek TE Leg Questionable
Demetrius Hardamon LB Undisclosed Out
Camden Orth QB Undisclosed Questionable

Betting Trends

  • Ohio’s five most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 3-1-1 against the spread.
  • Bowling Green’s ATS record at home (last three) is 1-2.
  • Bowling Green’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 1-2.
  • Looking back on the last five times Ohio was favored, their ATS record was 3-1-1.

Line Movement:

Considering the present moneyline odds, Bowling Green is currently given a 20% chance of victory, along with a moneyline payout of +389. In contrast, the Bobcats’ implied win percentage is 84%, with a moneyline of -522. Keep an eye on the point spread for this matchup, as there has already been some movement. Bowling Green was favored to open (10). But currently, Ohio is now the betting favorite at 12. According to the oddsmakers, the initial over/under line for this game was set at 46.5. However, it has been bet down to its current line of 46, with the over now paying out at -110 and the under at -110.

Free Pick

In this Mid-American matchup, I’m expecting Ohio to roll all over Bowling Green. I have no problem laying the points with the Bobcats in this one. My pick is Ohio -12.

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