Texas A&M at South Carolina
Saturday, November 7, 2026
3:00 PM ET, Williams-Brice Stadium
South Carolina is a 7-point favorite over Texas A&M with the total sitting at 51.5. My play is South Carolina -7 (-112).
Last November, South Carolina went into the locker room in College Station up 30-3 and walked out with a 31-30 loss after Marcel Reed threw for a career-high 439 yards. Shane Beamer brought it up in his team meeting this week. Now the Gamecocks get the Aggies at home, on homecoming, riding a three-game winning streak and the hottest quarterback in America. I don’t need much more convincing than that.
The Aggies’ Road Problem
Texas A&M is 0-3 away from Kyle Field, and the scoring has been ugly: 6 points at LSU, 6 at Missouri and 20 at Alabama. That’s under 11 points a game on the road from a team that opened the year at No. 8 in the AP poll. ESPN’s FPI rates the A&M offense 82nd nationally, and it plays like it.
Most of that sits with Marcel Reed. He’s completing 56.8% of his throws, the lowest among eligible SEC starters, with 8 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. He threw picks on two of his first three attempts at Alabama, and Mike Elko came close to pulling him before settling on this: “I just still believe [Reed’s] our best option.” That’s not exactly a ringing endorsement. The receiver room doesn’t help. Terry Bussey and Madden Williams are out for the season, and Mario Craver and Aaron Bethel-Roman are both uncertain.
Sellers Is Cooking
LaNorris Sellers just put up 397 passing yards and 96 rushing yards with five total touchdowns in a 42-25 win at Oklahoma, and he picked up national player of the week honors for it. Even Elko gushed: “Obviously playing right now at an elite level, has made a ton of explosive plays in the throw game, explosive plays with his legs.”
South Carolina is scoring 36.9 points a game, runs it at 5.6 yards a carry and converts nearly 48% of its third downs. After a 2-3 start, this team has won at Florida, beaten Tennessee and won at Oklahoma in three straight weeks. That’s not a fluke anymore.
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Where A&M Can Hang Around
The Aggies’ defense is the real deal. It allows 18.9 points and 315 yards a game, and FPI has it 22nd nationally, well ahead of South Carolina’s 52nd-ranked unit. KJ Edwards is averaging 6.5 yards a carry, and if A&M can lean on him and keep Reed in short-yardage throws, it can shorten the game. A&M is also coming off a bye, and Elko is 4-0 after one in College Station.
What Could Burn This Ticket
Seven is the most important number in football, and a field goal late can land this right on a push. South Carolina is also banged up. RB Matt Fuller had surgery and is expected to miss the rest of the regular season, and defensive lineman Dylan Stewart is out with a back injury. FPI also has these teams nearly even, so if you trust the season-long power ratings over current form, the Aggies are the side. I just can’t get there with an offense that has scored 32 points total in three road games.
Final Score Projection
A&M’s defense keeps it close for a half, but Sellers makes the two or three big plays the Aggies’ offense can’t answer. Columbia gets its revenge.
Projected Score: South Carolina 30, Texas A&M 17
The Pick: South Carolina -7 (-112), good up to -7.5
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