Tulsa vs Memphis Week 11 Odds & Pick ATS

by | Nov 7, 2022 | cfb

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-6 SU, ATS 2-6-1) vs Memphis Tigers (4-5 SU, ATS 3-6)

Date: Thursday, November 10th

Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Golden Hurricane +6.5/Tigers -6.5 (BAS – They let you bet on games at -105 odds instead of -110! Why the heck are you not taking advantage of this???)

Money Line: Golden Hurricane +212/Tigers -267

Over/Under: 62.5

RECENT FORM

The Golden Hurricane have an overall record of 3-6 coming into this week’s game. They are
currently 1-4 in American Athletic action. This season, the Golden Hurricane have been favored in
5 games while posting an ATS mark of 2-6-1. Their average over-under betting line is 57.5 leading
to an over-under record of 5-4.

The Golden Hurricane dropped their last game to Tulane by a score of 27-13. Tulsa entered the
action as 6.5-point underdogs at home. In the win, Tulsa completed 52.0% of their 25 passes, 1 of
which resulted in a touchdown. In the rushing game, the Golden Hurricane did not find the
endzone, while finishing with a total of 111 yards on the ground.

The team’s leading quarterback is Davis Brin, who comes into the game with a passer rating of
100.71. Heading into this week’s game, he has a total of 2090 passing yards. Through the air, the
team will be looking for a big game from leading receiver, Keylon Stokes. On the season, he has
caught 57 for 964 yards. The top option in the run game for the team is Deneric Prince, who has
carried the ball 75 times for a total of 438 yards.

The Tigers come into the game with an overall record of 4-5. This includes going 2-4 in
American Athletic action. This season, the Tigers have been favored in 5 games while posting an
ATS mark of 3-6. Their average over-under betting line is 58.17 leading to an over-under record
of 8-1.

Memphis is coming of a 7 loss to UCF by a score of 35-28. The Tigers entered the game as
3.0-point road underdogs, making this an ATS loss. In the game, Memphis finished with 1 touchdown
through the air while throwing for 284 yards. The team ended the game with 3 rushing touchdowns,
along with a total of 149 yards on the ground.

Heading into the matchup, Seth Henigan has an overall passer rating of 97.32 on a total of
2520 yards. Thus far, he has thrown for 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Receiver Eddie Lewis
heads into the game, as the team’s leader in receiving yards, with a total of 404. In the run
game, Asa Martin has accumulated 300 on 52 attempts to lead the team.

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BETTING TRENDS

Through their last 10 matchups, Tulsa has gone 4-6 straight up, and 3-6-1 vs the spread. Their
last 10 scoring differential sits at -1.4, as they averaged 30.2 points per game while allowing
31.6 points. The over-under record in these games was 5-5.

Across their 5 previous road games, Tulsa has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight-up record in
these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 29.2 points per game.

Against the spread, the Tigers have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games. Straight up, they have
a record of 5-5. On average, the team scored 33.8 points while allowing 31.2, leading to a
positive scoring differential.

When looking at their past 5 home matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging
34.4 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.

KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Golden Hurricane will look to improve their offensive
output, as they are ranked just 56th in the NCAA in points scored and are facing a Memphis
defense that is allowing an average of 31.56 points per game.

This year, the Golden Hurricanes have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate
this season and have a tough draw against a defense that has a completion percentage allowed of
54.16%.

So far, the Tulsa offense is averaging just 138.56 yards per game on the ground. This
production has come on an average of 36.44 rush attempts per game (65th). This week, the Golden
Hurricane will be facing a Memphis defense ranked 61st in rush yards allowed per game. On the
season, they have averaged 152.75 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top
50.

Heading into the game, the Tigers are ranked 33rd in points per game. And although Memphis has
struggled to move the chains on 3rd down, they have a chance to take advantage against a Tulsa
defense that is allowing an average of 33.22 points per game and has had its problems getting off
the field on third down.

A key to the Tigers’ chances in this matchup will be their ability to find success in the
running game. So far, the Memphis offense is averaging just 136.44 yards per game on the ground.
This production has come on an average of 36.78 rush attempts per game (63rd). This week, the
Tigers will be facing a Tulsa defense that is ranked 182nd in rush yards allowed per game. So
far, they are averaging 150.43 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.

FREE NCAAF PICK

Memphis -6.5. Be sure to check out our Week 10 NFL picks! (Posted by Wednesday each weekl!)

10* CFB Championship! 49-23, 68% Season!

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