3M Open Picks & Predictions

by | Last updated Jul 21, 2022 | golf

Event: 3M Open

Where: TPC Twin Cities, Blaine, MN

Watch: Golf Channel, CBS

When: July 21-24

(Note: A glitch in our system caused us to post this after some golfers had teed off)

Much of the golf world takes a breather this week following the epic Sunday drama of last week’s Open Championship at St. Andrews. But the PGA provides fans and bettors a bit of a fix with the fourth edition of the 3M Open, played at the TPC Twin Cities course designed by Arnold Palmer.

A field of 156 will play for $7.5 million in prize money this weekend and 500 FedEx Cup points. And while only three of the World’s top 25 players are slated to participate at TPC TC, there are still a lot of familiar names, including five Major champions and seven players who’ve won PGA tournaments this season.

A quick perusal of Bovada’s 3M Open betting board indicates that this tournament might be a good one for bettors because it looks wide-open, with lots of tempting prices.

TPC Twin Cities is hosting this event for the fourth consecutive year. The course can play long at 7,430 yards, and there’s water on more than half the holes. And yet the average winning score over the last three 3M Opens is 19-under par.

Last year Cameron Champ shot 69-67-67-66 to win this event. Louis Oosthuizen, Jhonattan Vegas, and Charl Schwartzel tied for second, while Keith Mitchell finished fifth.

A dozen-plus players made the hop back over the pond to play at TPC TC this week after doing the Open in Scotland last week. The best of the bunch were Tony Finau and Dylan Frittelli, who finished T-28 at St. Andrews last week, while JT Poston and Emiliano Grillo, among others, missed the cut.

Just a reminder; with only three tournaments left before the FedEx Cup playoffs begin, those FedEx points might come in real handy for anyone ranked just above or below that No. 125 cut. Guys like Frittelli (No. 103), Ryan Palmer (108), Lucas Glover (114), Jason Day (122), Ricky Fowler (129), Stewart Cink (130), and local favorite Erik van Rooyen (137), to name a few.

Each week we take a look at the online betting sites and highlight what we believe to be some of the best values on the weekly golf betting boards. Then we offer three or four picks to click on the weekend. Odds to win and pairings for this week can be found at Bovada. Here’s our take on some of the field for this week’s 3M Open.World No. 17 Finau tops Bovada’s 3M Open betting board at +1400, followed by No. 13 Hideki Matsuyama at +1600 and No. 24 Sungjae Im at +1800. Then we come to

Adam Hadwin (22 to 1 to win)

Canadian Hadwin sits at No. 85 in the World rankings and No. 53 in the FedEx Cup standings. He also owns four top-10 finishes over his last 11 tournaments, including a T-9 at the Players Championship and a T-7 at the US Open a month ago. Finally, Hadwin is one of two players, and the only one in this week’s field, to finish in the top ten in this tournament twice since its inception; he finished fourth with four rounds in the 60s in 2019 and T-6 last year. Hadwin missed the cut last time out at the John Deere Classic, then took the last couple of weeks off. We’re hoping that puts him in a good place for this weekend.

JT Poston (33 to 1 to win)

This North Carolinian is running seriously Jekyll-and-Hyde as of late but might be due for Jekyll (the good guy) to show up this weekend. Back in April, he finished T-3 at Harbour Town, then missed the cut four of his next six times out. Then he took a T-2 at the Travelers Championship and won the John Deere Open, then missed the cut at The Open last week. Poston is ranked No. 22 in the FedEx standings and No. 63 in the world rankings, so 33/1 seems like a good deal in a spot like this.

Dylan Frittelli (66 to 1 to win)

South African Frittelli sits at No. 139 in the World and No. 103 in the FedEx standings, but that doesn’t mean he’s guaranteed himself a spot in the upcoming playoffs. And a bunch of guys just below him in the points standings are also playing this week. Frittelli’s highest finish over his last ten tournaments is a T-8 at the Texas Open back in April, but he’s also made the cut 13 of his last 14 times out and just T-28 (8-under par) at the Open Championship last week. This will be Frittelli’s fourth straight appearance in this event, and while his best finish is a T-18 two years ago, he’s shot in the 60’s seven out of his ten rounds on this course. Bet your golf predictions for FREE this month by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!