Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Game 2 Pick

by | Last updated Oct 4, 2023 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, October 4th, 7:08 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: ESPN2
Money Line: Diamondbacks +111/Brewers -132
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, October 4th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
ARI +111 +1.5 O 7.5 (-109)
MIL -132 -1.5 U 7.5 (-112)

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Corbin Carroll 1 RF
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Tommy Pham 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Alek Thomas 5 CF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 6 DH
Gabriel Moreno 7 C
Emmanuel Rivera 8 3B
Geraldo Perdomo 9 SS
Zac Gallen SP


Batting Order Position
Christian Yelich 1 LF
William Contreras 2 C
Carlos Santana 3 1B
Mark Canha 4 DH
Sal Frelick 5 RF
Willy Adames 6 SS
Brice Turang 7 2B
Andruw Monasterio 8 3B
Blake Perkins 9 CF
Freddy Peralta SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 72-83 / Runline 89-74
Milwaukee Brewers: 92-70 SU / OU 73-85 / Runline 79-84

Heading into their game vs. the Brewers, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 28-21-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 54.6% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 45.4% of their games and have runline records of 44-37 and 45-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 72-83.

Currently, the Brewers are first in the NL Central with a record of 92-70. Over their last ten games, Milwaukee has gone .500 at 5-5. On the road, they have put together a record of 43-38 and are 49-32 at home. The clubs overall series record stands at 30-19-2.

  • The Brewers have covered the runline in 48.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Brewers have been favored in 55.8% of their games and have runline records of 35-47 and 44-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Brewers have an over/under record of just 73-85.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zac Gallen 34 34 210 17-9 3.47 1.12 22


Today will be Zac Gallen’s 35th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 17-9. His current ERA stands at 3.47 and OBP allowed of .278. So far, he struckout 220 batters and has a WHIP of 1.12. On the road, his ERA is 4.97 compared to 2.64 at home.

Gallen will look to build on his previous start, as he tossed 6 1/3 innings and allowed two earned runs on seven hits. However, the Diamondbacks fell by a score of 2-1 to the Astros.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Freddy Peralta 30 30 165 12-10 3.86 1.12 26


Across 30 appearances, Freddy Peralta has a slugging percentage allowed of .382 and enters with a WHIP of 1.12. His overall record is 12-10 on an ERA of 3.86. For the season, he has a total of 210 K’s, and is averaging 11.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Peralta’s record on the road is 5-6 and 7-4 at home. This includes an ERA of 4.73 (road) and 4.06 (home), respectively.

His last time on the mound, the Brewers fell to the Marlins by a score of 6-1. In the game, he allowed four earned runs on nine hits in what turned out to be a short outing.

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.6 runs per game, Arizona is 14th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 166 home runs, putting them 20th in the league. Their current batting average of .250 is 10th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 17th, compared to 8th when playing at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Diamondbacks 164 4.6 (14th) 166 (20th) .250 (10th) .322 (10th) .322 (10th)


Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Corbin Carroll .375 5 3 1 .834
Gabriel Moreno .208 3 1 1 .458
Ketel Marte .133 2 1 1 .283
Christian Walker .188 3 0 0 .250
Tommy Pham .083 1 1 0 .083


The Brewers have played 163 games and currently hold the 16th spot in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. With 165 home runs, Milwaukee is 21st in the league. The team’s batting average, including .230 on the road and .242 at home, is .240.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Christian Yelich .295 16 .490 .376
William Contreras .262 7 .382 .317
Carlos Santana .233 17 .424 .314
Willy Adames .216 20 .410 .304
Mark Canha .258 5 .366 .318


Milwaukee Brewers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Carlos Santana .270 5 3 1 .690
Christian Yelich .458 5 3 0 .541
William Contreras .390 7 3 0 .390
Tyrone Taylor .175 3 2 2 .600
Willy Adames .437 8 0 0 .593


Free MLB Pick

Now that the Diamondbacks have taken game one, they are in an excellent position to advance to the NLDS. With Zac Gallen on the mound, look for the Brewers’ offense to struggle once again. I like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline.

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