Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies

by | Last updated Oct 16, 2023 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Monday, October 16th, 8:07 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: TBS
Money Line: Diamondbacks +142/Phillies -168
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Diamondbacks on Monday, October 16th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
ARI +142 +1.5 O 7.5 (-105)
PHI -168 -1.5 U 7.5 (-116)

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Corbin Carroll 1 RF
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Tommy Pham 3 LF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Gabriel Moreno 5 C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 6 DH
Alek Thomas 7 CF
Evan Longoria 8 3B
Geraldo Perdomo 9 SS
Zac Gallen SP


Batting Order Position
Kyle Schwarber 1 DH
Trea Turner 2 SS
Bryce Harper 3 1B
Alec Bohm 4 3B
Bryson Stott 5 2B
J.T. Realmuto 6 C
Nick Castellanos 7 RF
Brandon Marsh 8 LF
Johan Rojas 9 CF
Zack Wheeler SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 73-86 / Runline 93-74
Philadelphia Phillies: 90-72 SU / OU 77-80 / Runline 77-91

Heading into their game vs. the Phillies, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 30-21-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in five straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 44.3% of their games and have runline records of 45-37 and 48-37 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 73-86.

With an overall record of 90-72, the Phillies are in 2nd place in the NL East, trailing by 14 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Phillies have a mark of 41-40 while going 49-32 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 30-19-4.

  • The Phillies have covered the runline in seven straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.6.
  • The Phillies have been favored in 67.3% of their games and have runline records of 38-47 and 39-44 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 77-80.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zac Gallen 36 34 210 17-9 3.47 1.12 22


Arizona is looking to Zac Gallen to deliver yet another impressive performance, given he has earned a win in two consecutive games. So far he has an ERA of 3.47 and record of 17-9. Throughout the season, he has accumulated 220 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .234. In terms of slugging percentage, teams have SLG of .377 vs. Gallen.

Zac Gallen’s most recent appearance ended with him allowing two runs allowed on five hits to the Dodgers. For the game, Gallen picked up the win as the Diamondbacks won by a score of 4-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zack Wheeler 34 32 192 13-6 3.61 1.08 20


Philadelphia will give the starting nod to Zack Wheeler, entering with a record of 13-6. Wheeler is on a three game streak of finishing with fewer than three earned runs allowed. So far, his ERA is 3.61, including a FIP figure of 3.15. Overall, opponents have a slugging percentage of .364 against him. Wheeler’s strikeout total currently sits at 212.

Even though Wheeler finished with a quality start in his last outing, the Phillies still lost to the Braves by a score of 5-4, and Wheeler finishing with a no-decision. In the game, he pitched 6 1/3 innings while allowing two earned runs on three hits.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

With an average of 4.6 runs per game, Arizona is 14th in the league for runs scored this season. They have hit a combined total of 166 home runs, putting them 20th in the league. Their current batting average of .250 is 10th in baseball. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 16th, compared to 8th when playing at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Corbin Carroll .284 20 .544 .386
Christian Walker .259 20 .473 .342
Ketel Marte .260 20 .481 .354
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .252 20 .474 .326
Geraldo Perdomo .247 6 .375 .329


Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ketel Marte .450 4 2 1 .825
Christian Walker .167 1 1 1 .666
Corbin Carroll .250 1 1 0 .250
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .375 3 1 1 .750
Gabriel Moreno .250 1 1 1 1.000


The Phillies are proving to be one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball this season, having hit 220 home runs (7th). Overall, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .256. The team’s slugging percentage is .407 on the road and .450 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Phillies 169 4.9 (8th) 220 (7th) .256 (7th) .327 (7th) .327 (7th)


Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Nick Castellanos .667 7 5 4 1.833
Trea Turner .567 7 4 2 1.217
Bryce Harper .383 4 3 2 .783
J.T. Realmuto .244 3 1 1 .556
Brandon Marsh .417 5 2 1 .750


Free MLB Pick

For game one of the NLCS, I’m going to take the Diamondbacks to pull off yet another upset win. From top to bottom, this Arizona lineup is patient at the plate, and Corbin Carroll is on the bases seemingly all the time. I expect the Diamondbacks to get to Wheeler early and take game one.

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