A’s vs. Mariners O/U Prediction 7/3/22

by | Jul 3, 2022 | mlb

Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Sunday, July 3rd, 04:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: NBCSCA
Money Line: Athletics +130 / Mariners -155 (Visit BAS for betting lines >>>)
Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

Oakland: Frankie Montas (3-8, 3.1) Seattle: Robbie Ray (6-6, 3.78)

Athletics Projected Lineup

Elvis Andrus SS Chad Pinder LF Stephen Piscotty RF Ramón Laureano RF Skye Bolt CF Sheldon Neuse 3B Sean Murphy C Christian Bethancourt 1B Nick Allen 2B Frankie Montas P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Dylan Moore SS Justin Upton LF Abraham Toro 2B Sam Haggerty RF Cal Raleigh C Eugenio Suárez 3B Carlos Santana 1B Julio Rodriguez CF Jesse Winker LF Robbie Ray P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Oakland Athletics: 26-54-0 SU / OU 33-40-7 / Run Line W/L 37-43-0 Seattle Mariners: 38-42-0 SU / OU 37-41-2 / Run Line W/L 40-40-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Oakland Athletics on Sunday, July 3rd at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-155), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Athletics suffered a 1-run loss to the Mariners by a score of 2-1. In the losing effort, the pitching staff still held the Mariners to just 2 runs on 8 hits. With their 4 hits, the Athletics could only muster 1 run. Oakland’s loss came as the underdog, getting 155.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Athletics and Mariners stayed below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. So far, Oakland has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 33-40-7.

In their last 5 games, the Athletics are below .500, at 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -4. In their last 5 contests, Oakland is averaging 2.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.18. Oakland’s overall series record is just 5-19-1.

The Mariners will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Athletics by a score of 2-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Athletics to 1 run on 4 hits. The Mariners’ offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 8 hits. Seattle picked up the win while being favored at -175.0. So far, the team has won 56% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Mariners and Athletics’ run total fell below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 37-41-2.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +9 (last 5). Seattle is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.4 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 3.96. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 12-12-1.

Pitching Matchup

The Oakland Athletics will send Frankie Montas to the mound with an overall record of 3-8. Through 16 appearances, Montas has an ERA of just 3.1 while averaging 5.95 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.217 against him. Montas is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 0.95 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Frankie Montas has a strong strikeout percentage of 26.0%, including a per-game average of 6.25. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.26 walks per outing.

Robbie Ray gets the start for the Mariners, with an overall record of 6-6. So far, Ray has put together an ERA of 3.78. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 6.08 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.215 against Ray. Home runs have been a concern for Ray as he is allowing 1.3 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Robbie Ray has a strong K% of 26.0%, including a per game average of 6.56. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.13 walks per outing.

Oakland vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Oakland Athletics and Seattle Mariners will be their 10th meeting of the season. Currently, Seattle is winning the season series 6-3. Through 9 games, the series’ over-under record is 5-4, with the average run total sitting at 8.26 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.89 runs. Seattle won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 15 wins to 4. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 6-13, with the average run total being 8.26 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.79 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • Oakland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • Seattle is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing Oakland
  • Seattle is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Oakland

Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s AL West between Oakland vs Seattle, the Mariners are the favorite to pick up the win. Robbie Ray and Frankie Montas last faced off on June 23rd, with the game ending in a 2-1 win for Seattle. Look for today’s contest to also end in a pitcher’s duel, falling below the over-under line set at 7 runs. I recommend the under.

Free MLB Pick: Under 7 Runs

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