Astros vs. Angels Odds, Analysis, Total Pick 7/13/22

by | Jul 13, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels

Date: Wednesday, July 13th, 09:38 ET

Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Astros +108 / Angels -130 (GTBets - Snag a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 at this seriously underrated online sportsbook!)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Cristian Javier (6-4, 3.01)
Los Angeles: Shohei Ohtani (8-4, 3.18)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jake Meyers LF
Chas McCormick LF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Aledmys Díaz LF
Kyle Tucker RF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Jose Altuve 2B
Jeremy Peña SS
Cristian Javier P

Angels Projected Lineup

Michael Stefanic 2B
David MacKinnon 1B
Luis Rengifo SS
Jonathan Villar 3B
Taylor Ward RF
Monte Harrison LF
Max Stassi C
DH Shohei Ohtani
Mike Trout CF

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 57-29-0 SU / OU 31-52-3 / Run Line W/L 46-40-0
Los Angeles Angels: 38-50-0 SU / OU 37-44-7 / Run Line W/L 40-48-0

The Los Angeles Angels host the Houston Astros on Wednesday, July 13th at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:38 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Houston Astros will look to add another win to their resume after pulling out a slim 6-5 win over the Angels. For the game, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 5 runs on 2 hits. The Astros benefited from an offense that generated 6 runs on 8 hits. Heading into their last game, Houston was the betting favorite at -120.0. Through 71 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 69.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.0 runs. Games involving the Astros have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 31-52-3.

The Astros are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +5. Overall, Houston is averaging 4.53 runs per game. Over their last 5 contests, they have been producing at a similar rate, at 4.53. So far, Houston has won over half of their 29 series played, going 19-8-2.

In their last game, the Angels suffered a 1 run loss to the Astros by a score of 6-5. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 8 hits, leading to 6 runs. At the plate, the Angels scored 5 times on 2 hits. Leading into Los Angeles’s loss they were the underdogs, getting 100.0 on the moneyline. In their 27 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 19.0%. The Angels and Astros went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. Against the run total, Los Angeles is just 37-44-7.

In their last 5 contests, the Angels have just 0 wins, going 0-5. During this time, the team has a run differential of -10. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 3.0, similar to their season long average of 4.00. Los Angeles has a below .500 series record of just 11-14-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send Cristian Javier to the mound with an overall record of 6-4. Through 16 appearances, Javier has an ERA of just 3.01 while averaging 4.64 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.177 against him. Per 9 innings pitched, Javier is averaging 0.97 home runs allowed. Per game, Cristian Javier is averaging 6.38, on a strikeout percentage of 34.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Javier is averaging 3.25 free passes per outing.

Los Angeles will roll with Shohei Ohtani (8-4) as their starter. Through 85 appearances, Ohtani has an ERA of just 3.18 while averaging 0.73 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.2 against him. This year, home runs have been an issue for Ohtani. So far, he has allowed 1.16 per 9 innings. Per game, Shohei Ohtani is averaging 1.31, on a strikeout percentage of 34.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.89 walks per outing.

Houston vs Los Angeles History

For the season, the Houston Astros and Los Angeles Angels will be playing their 12th game of the season. So far, Houston is leading the season series, 8-3. The over-under record in this series sits at 6-5. The average run total in these games is 9.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.36 runs. Going back to last year, Houston won the season series, 13 games to 6. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 10-9, with the average run total being 9.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.16 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
  • Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels’s last 7 games at home

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s American League matchup between Houston and Los Angeles, the over-under line is set at 7.5 runs. Even with the low projected run total, I still recommend taking the under. The last time Cristian Javier faced the Angels, he gave up just 1 run while picking up 14 strikeouts. On the other side, Shohei Ohtani has not given up an earned run in his past 4 outings.

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