Astros vs. Phillies Game 3 Moneyline Bet

by | Last updated Oct 31, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Sunday October 31st, 08:03 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: FOX
Money Line: Astros -120 / Phillies +100
Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Lance McCullers Jr. (4-2, 2.27)
Philadelphia: Noah Syndergaard (5-8, 3.82)

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 106-56-0 SU / OU 63-98-10 / Run Line W/L 91-80-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 87-75-0 SU / OU 90-79-6 / Run Line W/L 90-85-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros on Sunday, October 31st at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 8:03 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Houston will be looking to tack on another win after taking down Philadelphia by the score of 5-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited Philadelphia to 2 runs on 6 hits. The Astros benefited from an offense that generated 5 runs on 7 hits. Heading into their last game, Houston was the betting favorite at -140.0. Through 148 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 69.0%. In the game, the Astros and Philadelphia combined to match the over-under betting line of 7.0 runs. With the teams matching the betting line, Houston’s over-under record sits at 63-98-10, Houston.

The Astros come into this game with a 4-1 record over their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +9. In their last 5 contests, Houston is averaging 4.8 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.55. So far, Houston has won over half of their 56 series played, going 36-13-7.

Philadelphia is coming off a 3-run loss to the Astros. Dropping the game 5-2. Philadelphia’s pitching staff gave up 7 hits, leading to 5 runs for the Astros. The Phillies’ offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 6 hits. Leading into Philadelphia’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 130.0 on the moneyline. In their 62 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 47.0%. With an over-under line set at 7.0, the Phillies and Astros combined to match this total. This outcome leaves Philadelphia with an over-under line of 90-79-6.

In their last 5 games, the Phillies have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +5 (last 5). Philadelphia has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.64. On the season, Philadelphia has won more than half of their series, going 27-22-6.

Pitching Matchup

Lance McCullers Jr. gets the start for the Astros, with an overall record of 4-2. Through 8 appearances, Jr. has an ERA of just 2.27 while averaging 5.9 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just .214 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.76 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Jr. has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 26.0% and a per-game average of 6.25. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Jr. is averaging 4.15 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Philadelphia turns to starter Noah Syndergaard. For the year, he has a record of 5-8. Syndergaard gets the start with an ERA of 3.82. On average, he has lasted 5.33 innings per appearance. Syndergaard’s opponent’s batting average currently sits at 0.244. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Syndergaard, as he is allowing just 1.01 per 9 innings. Per game, Noah Syndergaard is averaging 4.27, on a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. Command has been a problem for Syndergaard, as he is giving up 2.48 walks per outing.

Houston vs Philadelphia History

For the season, the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies will be playing their 6th game of the season. Houston has the lead in the series at 3-2. Through 5 games, the series over-under record is 2-2, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.6 runs.

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Betting Trends

  • Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games following an off day.
  • Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The betting odds are almost even, and the public is undecided as well. There’s really no real edge to be had here, but if forced to make a pick I’d bet the Phillies, as McCullers doesn’t pitch as well on the road as he does at home.

Free MLB Pick: Phillies ML

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