Astros vs. Yankees Moneyline Bet 6/30/22

by | Last updated Jun 30, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros
Date: Thursday, June 30th, 06:10 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
TV: ATT SportsNet-SW
Money Line: Yankees -110 / Astros -110 (Get the best lines >>>)
Total Line: 8.5


New York: Luis Severino (4-2, 3.38)
Houston: Luis Garcia (5-5, 3.55)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Aaron Hicks CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Josh Donaldson 3B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
Gleyber Torres 2B
Jose Trevino C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Aaron Judge CF
Luis Severino P

Astros Projected Lineup

Chas McCormick LF
Jake Meyers CF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Jeremy Peña SS
Luis Garcia P


New York Yankees: 55-20-0 SU / OU 34-40-2 / Run Line W/L 39-37-0
Houston Astros: 46-27-0 SU / OU 24-47-3 / Run Line W/L 38-36-0

The Houston Astros host the New York Yankees on Thursday, June 30th at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

New York looks to keep things rolling after taking down the Athletics by the score of 5-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 9 hits. The Yankees lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 6 hits, leading to 5 runs. Heading into their last game, New York was the betting favorite at -340.0. Through 71 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 73.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. So far, New York has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 34-40-2.

The Yankees are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +7. New York comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 5.04. So far, New York has won over half of their 24 series played, going 19-2-3.

In their last game, Houston took down the Mets by a score of 2-0. For the game, the pitching staff held the Mets to 0 runs on 2 hits. At the plate, the Astros only came through for 2 runs on 7 hits. Heading into action, Houston was the favorite at -140.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 61 games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. Combined, the Astros and Mets’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 24-47-3.

In their last 5 games, the Astros have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +12. Houston has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.0 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.32. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 14-8-2.

Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send Luis Severino to the mound with an overall record of 4-2. So far, Severino has put together an ERA of 3.38. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.54 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.211 against Severino. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Severino is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.38 homers per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Luis Severino is averaging 6.69, on a strikeout percentage of 30.0%. Command has been a problem for Severino, as he is giving up 2.62 walks per outing.

Houston will roll with Luis Garcia (5-5) as their starter. Garcia gets the start with an ERA of 3.55. On average, he has lasted 5.46 innings per appearance. Through 13 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.211. Home runs have been a concern for Garcia as he is allowing 1.52 per 9 innings. Per game, Luis Garcia is averaging 5.69, on a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. Command has been a problem for Garcia, as he is giving up 2.41 walks per outing.

New York vs Houston History

Today’s matchup between the New York Yankees and Houston Astros will be their 5th meeting of the season. So far, the teams have each won 2 times. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 8.33 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.25 runs. Last season, New York picked up the series win, 4 games to 2. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-3, with the average run total being 8.33 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.67 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

New York Yankees at Houston Astros Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s American League showdown between New York and Houston, the moneyline odds place this as a pick’em. Even though Luis Severino took the loss in his last outing vs the Astros, he kept the Yankees in the game, giving up 3 runs across 6 innings. Look for the Yankees offense to provide him more run support this time around. I like New York on the moneyline.

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