Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions- Thursday, March 30th
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Thursday, March 30th, 2:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: MLBTV
Money Line: Orioles +106/Red Sox -124
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Orioles on Thursday, March 30th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected line-ups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
 |
+106 | +1.5 | O 8.5 (-123) |
 |
-124 | -1.5 | U 8.5 (+102) |
Orioles vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Cedric Mullins | 1 | CF |
| Adley Rutschman | 2 | C |
| Anthony Santander | 3 | RF |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 4 | 1B |
| Gunnar Henderson | 5 | SS |
| Ramón Urías | 6 | 3B |
| Kyle Stowers | 7 | LF |
| Austin Hays | 8 | LF |
| Adam Frazier | 9 | 2B |
| Kyle Gibson | – | SP |
|
Batting Order | Position |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1 | LF |
| Rafael Devers | 2 | 3B |
| Justin Turner | 3 | 3B |
| Masataka Yoshida | 4 | LF |
| Enrique Hernández | 5 | CF |
| Adam Duvall | 6 | CF |
| Triston Casas | 7 | 1B |
| Christian Arroyo | 8 | 2B |
| Reese McGuire | 9 | C |
| Corey Kluber | – | SP |
Straight Up/ Over-Under/ Runline Records
Baltimore Orioles: 83-79 SU / OU 74-84 / Runline 99-63
Boston Red Sox: 78-84 SU / OU 77-78 / Runline 83-79
Recent Form
This season, the Orioles are aiming to qualify for the post-season, having fallen 3 games short of the Wild Card in the AL last year. Baltimore finished 16 games out in their division with an overall record of 83-79. They had a 45-36 record at home and a 38-43 record on the road. The team’s series record was 25-22.
Last year’s squad recorded a 17-10 straight-up record when they were the favorite, including 12-15 against the runline. As the underdog, they were 66-69 straight-up and 87-48 vs. the runline. As the road team, they were favored 6.2% of the time, with a record of 3-2 against the runline. As the underdog, their record was 45-31 against the runline, while going 34-42 straight-up. The average betting line of 8 runs was accompanied by the Orioles’ over/under record of 74-84 last season.
The Red Sox ended last year with a record of 78-84, placing them 5th in AL East. Their divisional record was 26-50, while going 35-46 on the road and 43-38 at home. In terms of series records, Boston went 21-24.
They wrapped up last year with a record of 49-33 when they were favored and 37-45 against the runline in those games, while they were 29-51 straight-up and 46-34 vs. the runline as the underdog. The Red Sox were the favorite 63.0% of the time in their home games, resulting in a straight-up record of 32-19 and 24-27 against the runline. As a home underdog, the team was 17-13 vs. the runline and 11-19 straight-up. The average betting line of 9 runs was accompanied by Red Sox’s over/under record of 77-78 last season..
Last year, the Red Sox and Orioles faced off 19 times, with the Red Sox going 10-9. The Orioles had the upper hand against the runline with a record of 10-9. Across the 19 games, the teams averaged 11.0 runs per contest leading to an over/under mark of 7-11.
MLB Betting Guide
New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!
Pitching Matchup
Kyle Gibson joins the Orioles this season, having played for the Phillies last year. In 31 appearances, he finished with a record of 10-8 and an ERA of 5.05. If Gibson wants to improve his pitching this year, he needs to do a better job of preventing opponents from hitting for power. Last season, he finished with a slugging percentage allowed of .435.
Corey Kluber comes over to the Red Sox having spent last year with the Rays, where he put together a record of 10-10 on an ERA of 4.33. Kluber appeared in 31 games last season. Kluber needs to focus on preventing opposing teams from hitting for power this year if he wants to perform better. Last season, he finished with a slugging percentage allowed of .425.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Key Players To Watch
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Mullins | .258 | .318 | .403 | 64 | 16 | 34 |
| Anthony Santander | .240 | .318 | .455 | 89 | 33 | 0 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | .250 | .305 | .423 | 85 | 22 | 4 |
Orioles New Additions
- Adam Frazier Mariners: (BA .238, SLG .311, RBI 42, HR 3)
- James McCann Mets: (BA .195, SLG .282, RBI 18, HR 3)
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Key Players To Watch
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers | .295 | .358 | .521 | 88 | 27 | 3 |
| Alex Verdugo | .280 | .328 | .405 | 74 | 11 | 1 |
| Trevor Story | .238 | .303 | .434 | 66 | 16 | 13 |
Red Sox New Additions
- Justin Turner Dodgers: (BA .278, SLG .438, RBI 81, HR 13)
- Raimel Tapia Blue Jays: (BA .265, SLG .380, RBI 52, HR 7)
Free MLB Pick
I like the total here. The historical numbers against each pitcher are pretty strong and each starter didn’t actually impress last season. Take the Over 8.5.
