Best Bet: Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels

by | Aug 12, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels

Date: Friday August 12th, 09:38 ET

Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim

TV: Bally Sports North

Money Line: Twins -134 / Angels +124 (BAS - Why bet on games at -110 odds when you can bet at -105? Makes NO sense to overpay!)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Minnesota: Tyler Mahle (5-7, 4.14)
Los Angeles: Patrick Sandoval (3-7, 3.22)

Twins Projected Lineup

Luis Arraez 1B
Gilberto Celestino CF
Jose Miranda 3B
Gary Sánchez C
Gio Urshela 3B
Nick Gordon CF
Jorge Polanco 2B
Byron Buxton CF
Carlos Correa SS
Tyler Mahle P

Angels Projected Lineup

Steven Duggar LF
Magneuris Sierra CF
Max Stassi C
Taylor Ward RF
David Fletcher 2B
Luis Rengifo 3B
Andrew Velazquez SS
Jared Walsh 1B
DH Shohei Ohtani
Patrick Sandoval P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Minnesota Twins: 57-53-0 SU / OU 54-48-8 / Run Line W/L 51-59-0
Los Angeles Angels: 49-63-0 SU / OU 48-56-8 / Run Line W/L 53-59-0

The Los Angeles Angels host the Minnesota Twins on Friday August 12th at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:38 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Minnesota as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Twins come into this matchup having suffered a 3 run loss to the Dodgers (8-5). Minnesota’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 9 hits, leading to 8 runs. On offense, the Twins 8 hits and 5 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. The loss came as Minnesota was the betting underdog, getting 170.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. Minnesota now has an over-under record of 54-48-8.

After their 5 most recent games, the Twins have gone just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -6. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.51. So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 35 series played, going 16-13-6.

The Angels will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Athletics by a score of 5-4. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Athletics to 4 runs and 7 hits. In the victory, the Angels came up with 6 hits and 5 runs. Despite being the underdogs, getting 115.0 on the moneyline, the Angels still picked up the win. In their 41 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 28.9%. The Angels and Athletics went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. So far, Los Angeles has an over-under record of just 48-56-8.

In their last 5 games, the Angels have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +9. Los Angeles is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game, compared to a season long mark of 3.88. Los Angeles has a below .500 series record of just 13-18-4.

Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send Tyler Mahle to the mound with an overall record of 5-7. To date, Mahle has an ERA of 4.14 while lasting an average of 5.48 innings per appearance. Through 19 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.226. Mahle is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.04 per 9 innings. Per game, Tyler Mahle is averaging 6.0, on a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.36 walks per outing.

Los Angeles will roll with Patrick Sandoval (3-7) as their starter. Currently, Sandoval has a strong ERA of just 3.22 while pitching an average of 5.28 innings per outing. So far, opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, posting a batting average allowed of 0.256. Throughout the season, Sandoval has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.38 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Patrick Sandoval has a strong K% of 24.0%, including a per game average of 5.67. Command has been a problem for Sandoval, as he is giving up 4.26 walks per outing.

Minnesota vs Los Angeles History

Today’s game between the Minnesota Twins and Los Angeles Angels is their first matchup of the year. Dating back to last season, the Los Angeles picked up 5 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-4, with the average scoring differential sitting at 3.29 runs. Between the games, the average run total was 7.86 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of Minnesota’s last 14 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels’s last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
  • LA Angels is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Going into Friday’s American League showdown between Minnesota and Los Angeles, the Twins have the slight edge on the moneyline. However, throughout the season, Minnesota has performed near the middle of the pack vs left-handed pitching. I expect the Angels to pick up a home win.

Free MLB Pick: Angels Moneyline.

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