Bet the Total: Angels vs. Astros 9/10/22

by | Sep 10, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday September 10th, 07:15 ET

Location: Minute Maid Park

TV: FOX

Money Line: Angels +115 / Astros -138 (BetOnline - Be sure to check out their 500K NFL Handicapping Contest and 200K Survivor Pool!)

Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

Los Angeles: Shohei Ohtani (11-8, 3.15)
Houston: Jose Urquidy (13-5, 3.51)

Angels Projected Lineup

Jo Adell LF
Matt Thaiss C
Taylor Ward RF
Mike Ford 1B
Luis Rengifo 3B
Andrew Velazquez SS
DH Shohei Ohtani
David Fletcher 2B
Mike Trout CF

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick CF
Kyle Tucker RF
Trey Mancini 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Jose Urquidy P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Los Angeles Angels: 60-78-0 SU / OU 59-68-11 / Run Line W/L 64-74-0
Houston Astros: 89-49-0 SU / OU 50-82-6 / Run Line W/L 73-65-0

The Houston Astros host the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday September 10th at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-138), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Angels will look to rebound from a close, 4-3 loss to Houston. Los Angeles’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 6 hits, leading to 4 runs. With their 5 hits, the Angels could only muster 3 runs. Los Angeles’s loss came as the underdog, getting 180.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Angels and Houston fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.5 runs. With this result, Los Angeles’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 59-68-11.

Over the Angels’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. Even with this record, their scoring differential during this time is +1. However, the team’s offense isn’t to blame, as they are averaging 4.6 runs per game (last 5) compared to their season average of 3.82. Los Angeles’s overall series record is just 17-23-4.

The Astros are coming off a tight 4-3 win over the Angels. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 3 runs on 5 hits. At the plate, the Astros only came through for 4 runs on 6 hits. In the game, Houston was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -220.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 119 games, winning at a rate of 68.0%. Combined, the Astros and Angel’s run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 50-82-6.

Across their last 5 contests, the Astros are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +10 (last 5). Houston is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.49. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 29-13-4.

Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Angels will send Shohei Ohtani to the mound with an overall record of 11-8. Currently, Ohtani has an ERA of just 3.15 while pitching an average of 0.84 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.213 against him. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Ohtani is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.13 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Shohei Ohtani has a strong strikeout percentage of 33.0%, including a per-game average of 1.36. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.67 walks per outing.

The Houston Astros will send Jose Urquidy to the mound with an overall record of 13-5. So far, Urquidy has put together an ERA of 3.51. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.84 innings. So far, Urquidy has a batting average allowed of 0.238. Home runs have been an issue for Urquidy, as he is allowing an average of 1.42 per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Jose Urquidy has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. This has led to an average of 4.68 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Urquidy, as he is giving up 1.97 walks per outing.

Los Angeles vs Houston History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Houston Astros will be their 18th meeting of the season. Currently, Houston is winning the season series 12-5. The over-under record in this series sits at 8-9. The average run total in these games is 9.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.94 runs. Houston won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 13 wins to 6. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-9. Last year, the Angels and Astros averaged 9.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.16 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our LAD/SD betting analysis plus free total bet for 9/10/22

Betting Trends

  • LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s matchup between Los Angeles and Houston, the run total is set at 7 runs. In Shohei Ohtani’s last outing, he shut down the Astros across 8 innings, while Jose Urquidy was equally impressive. Look for today’s game to also be a low-scoring contest. I recommend taking the under.

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