Bet the Total: Brewers vs. Cubs 8/21/22

by | Last updated Aug 21, 2022 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday August 21st, 02:20 ET

Location: Wrigley Field

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Money Line: Brewers -144 / Cubs +133 ( – One of the players faves!)

Total Line: 7


Milwaukee: Brandon Woodruff (9-3, 3.53)
Chicago: Justin Steele (4-7, 3.43)

Brewers Projected Lineup

Luis Urías 3B
Victor Caratini C
Hunter Renfroe RF
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Mike Brosseau 3B
Tyrone Taylor CF
Andrew McCutchen LF
Christian Yelich LF
Willy Adames SS
Brandon Woodruff P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Zach McKinstry SS
Patrick Wisdom 3B
Franmil Reyes RF
Seiya Suzuki RF
Nico Hoerner SS
Christopher Morel SS
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Nick Madrigal 2B
Justin Steele P


Milwaukee Brewers: 63-56-0 SU / OU 60-52-7 / Run Line W/L 48-71-0
Chicago Cubs: 52-67-0 SU / OU 53-59-7 / Run Line W/L 62-57-0

The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday, August 21st at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Milwaukee as the favorite (-150), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

The Brewers will look to rebound from a close, 6-5 loss to the Chi Cubs. Milwaukee’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 8 hits, leading to 6 runs. Offensively, they finished with 5 runs on 4 hits. Brewers suffered the loss, despite being favored at -125.0. Through 98 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 56.9%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as Milwaukee has had the over has hit in more than half of their games (60-52-7).

Over the Brewers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team has an even run differential. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.53. So far, Milwaukee has won over half of their 39 series played, going 17-15-7.

The Cubs will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Brewers by a score of 6-5. Chicago’s pitching staff gave up 4 hits, leading to 5 Brewers runs. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 8 hits. This was a good win for the Cubs, as they were underdogs at 105.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 77 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 42.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Cubs and Brewers combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. Against the run total, Chicago is just 53-59-7.

Over their last 5 games, the Cubs have not lost a game, going 5-0. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +6. Overall, the Cubs are averaging 4.21 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 5.4 runs per contest. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 17-17-5.

Pitching Matchup

Milwaukee will roll with Brandon Woodruff (9-3) as their starter. To date, Woodruff has an ERA of 3.53 while lasting an average of 5.39 innings per appearance. So far, Woodruff has a batting average allowed of 0.227. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Woodruff, as he is allowing just 1.02 per 9 innings. On the season, Brandon Woodruff has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28.9%. This includes a per game average of 6.5 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.69 walks per outing.

Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs, with an overall record of 4-7. So far, Steele has put together an ERA of 3.43. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.87 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.252. Throughout the season, Steele has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.59 per 9 innings. On the season, Justin Steele has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. This has led to an average of 5.05 K’s per game. Steele comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.76 free passes per outing.

Milwaukee vs Chicago History

Today’s matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs will be their 16th meeting of the season. Currently, Chicago is winning the season series 9-6. The over-under record in this series sits at 9-5. The average run total in these games is 10.05 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.13 runs. Going back to last year, Milwaukee won the season series, 15 games to 4. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-8, with the average run total being 10.05 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.89 runs per contest.

More Picks: Boston at Baltimore 8/21/22 Betting Predictions

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
  • Chi Cubs is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
  • Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s NL Central showdown between Milwaukee and Chicago, the Cubs are going for the series sweep. Look for this to be a low-scoring, tightly contested matchup, as Brandon Woodruff and Justin Steele have been throwing the ball well. I recommend taking the under at 7 runs.

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