Bet the Total: Diamondbacks vs. Rockies 7/3/22

by | Jul 3, 2022 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies
Date: Sunday, July 3rd, 03:10 ET
Location: Coors Field
TV: ATT SportsNet-RM
Money Line: Diamondbacks -115 / Rockies -105 (Get the best lines >>>)
Total Line: 11.5

STARTING PITCHING

Arizona: Zac Gallen (4-2, 3.43)
Colorado: Chad Kuhl (5-5, 3.49)

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Carson Kelly C
Buddy Kennedy 2B
David Peralta LF
Daulton Varsho RF
Josh Rojas 3B
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Alek Thomas CF
Zac Gallen P

Rockies Projected Lineup

José Iglesias SS
Randal Grichuk CF
Brendan Rodgers 2B
Connor Joe RF
Ryan McMahon 3B
Elias Díaz C
Kris Bryant LF
C.J. Cron 1B
Charlie Blackmon RF
Chad Kuhl P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Arizona Diamondbacks: 35-43-0 SU / OU 35-41-2 / Run Line W/L 43-35-0
Colorado Rockies: 34-44-0 SU / OU 39-35-4 / Run Line W/L 40-38-0

The Colorado Rockies host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday, July 3rd, at Coors Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Arizona as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 11.5.

Recent Form

The Diamondbacks are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Rockies by a score of 11-7. In the loss, Arizona’s pitchers gave up 11 runs on 12 hits. On offense, the Diamondbacks’ 9 hits and 7 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. The loss came as Arizona was the betting underdog, getting 135.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 12.0 runs, the Diamondbacks and Rockies combined to go over this total. On the season, Arizona’s over-under record is 35-41-2.

The Diamondbacks come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +3. Offensively, the team has put up 34 runs in their last 5 games. Arizona’s season average comes in at 4.15 (20th. Arizona’s overall series record is just 8-11-6.

In their last game, the Colorado Rockies picked up a 4 run win over the Diamondbacks by a score of 11-7. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Rockies staff allowed 9 hits. In the victory, the Rockies came up with 12 hits and 11 runs. In the game, Colorado was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -160.0. So far, the team has won 50.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Rockies and Diamondbacks combined to surpass the line of 12.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 39-35-4.

In their last 5 games, the Rockies have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +1 (last 5). The Rockies’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 5.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.54. Colorado has a below .500 series record of just 10-12-3.

Pitching Matchup

Arizona will roll with Zac Gallen (4-2) as their starter. To date, Gallen has an ERA of 3.43 while lasting an average of 5.43 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.212 against Gallen. Per 9 innings pitched, Gallen is averaging 0.95 home runs allowed. On the season, Zac Gallen has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.21 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Gallen, as he is giving up 2.49 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Colorado turns to starter Chad Kuhl. For the year, he has a record of 5-5. To date, Kuhl has an ERA of 3.49 while lasting an average of 5.51 innings per appearance. Kuhl’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.244. So far, Kuhl has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.82 home runs per 9 innings. Kuhl’s current strikeout average is 4.07 per game. This includes a K rate of 17.0%. Kuhl comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 3.38 free passes per outing.

Arizona vs Colorado History

Today’s matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies will be their 6th meeting of the season. So far, Arizona is leading the season series, 3-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-3. The average run total in these games is 11.16 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.0 runs. Dating back to last season, Colorado picked up 10 wins compared to 9, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 11-7. Last year, the Diamondbacks and Rockies averaged 11.16 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.89 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
  • Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
  • Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
  • Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s NL West matchup between Arizona and Colorado, the over-under run total is set at 11.5 runs. However, I see today’s game being an opportunity to take the under. Look for Zac Gallen and Chad Kuhl to put together strong outings on the mound, making this a lower-scoring game than expected.

Free MLB Pick: Under 11.5 Runs

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