Bet the Total: Yankees vs. Rays 6/20/22

by | Last updated Jun 20, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, June 20th, 07:10 ET

Location: Tropicana Field

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Money Line: Yankees -126 / Rays +116 (BAS – Did you know you could be saving 5% every time you bet by being a member there? It’s free!)

Total Line: 6.5


New York: Gerrit Cole (6-1, 3.33)
Tampa Bay: Shane McClanahan (7-3, 1.84)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Jose Trevino C
Josh Donaldson 3B
Aaron Judge CF
Gleyber Torres 2B
DJ LeMahieu 3B
Aaron Hicks CF
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
Gerrit Cole P

Rays Projected Lineup

Harold Ramirez 1B
Vidal Brujan SS
Randy Arozarena LF
Taylor Walls SS
Yandy Díaz 3B
Francisco Mejía C
Ji-Man Choi 1B
Kevin Kiermaier CF
Manuel Margot RF
Shane McClanahan P


New York Yankees: 49-17-0 SU / OU 30-35-1 / Run Line W/L 35-31-0
Tampa Bay Rays: 36-30-0 SU / OU 28-35-3 / Run Line W/L 31-35-0

The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees on Monday, June 20th at Tropicana Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-126), with an OU line set at 6.5.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Yankees suffered a 1-run loss to the Blue Jays by a score of 10-9. On their way to giving up 10 runs, the Yankees staff allowed 7 hits. On offense, the Yankees 11 hits and 9 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. Yankees suffered the loss, despite being favored at -160.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 61 of their games, winning at a rate of 74.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. The Yankees now have an over-under record of 30-35-1.

The Yankees are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +14. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 6.2 runs per game, compared to their season average of 5.15. So far, New York has won over half of their 21 series played, going 17-2-2.

The Rays are coming off a tight loss to the Orioles, dropping the game 2-1. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits. The Rays’ offense ended the game with just 1 run on 9 hits. Leading into the game, Tampa Bay was the betting favorite at -155.0. So far, the team has won 61.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Rays and Orioles combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Now, Tampa Bay had an over-under record of 28-35-3.

In their last 5 contests, the Rays have just 1 win, going 1-4. During this time, the team has a run differential of -3. If Tampa Bay is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.4 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.05. On the season, Tampa Bay has won more than half of their series, going 10-9-2.


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Pitching Matchup

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees, with an overall record of 6-1. In his previous outings, Cole has lasted an average of 5.62 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.33. So far, batters are hitting just 0.213 against him. Home runs have been a concern for Cole as he is allowing 1.36 per 9 innings. On the season, Gerrit Cole has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 31.0%. This includes a per game average of 7.0 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Cole has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.22 per contest.

Tampa Bay will roll with Shane McClanahan (7-3) as their starter. In his previous outings, McClanahan has lasted an average of 6.01 innings, putting together an ERA of just 1.84. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.185 against the left-hander. Despite a strong batting average allowed, McClanahan is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.15 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Shane McClanahan has a strong K% of 35.0%, including a per-game average of 8.08. Throughout the season, McClanahan has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.72 per contest.

New York vs Tampa Bay History

For the season, the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays will be playing their 8th game of the season. New York has the lead in the series at 5-2. Through 7 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-5, with the average run total sitting at 7.79 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.14 runs. Tampa Bay won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 11 wins to 8. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 7.79 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.0 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 42-11 in their last 53 overall.
  • Rays are 86-32 in their last 118 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rays are 67-31 in their last 98 home games.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Heading into Monday’s American League East matchup between New York and Tampa Bay, the Yankees are the favorite to pick up the win. Even though New York comes into the game swinging the bats well, Ray’s starter Shane McClanahan has a WHIP of just .86. And with Gerrit Cole on the mound for the Yankees, look for this to be a low-scoring contest. Even with a run total set at just 6.5, I still recommend taking the under.

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