Blue Jays vs. Pirates O/U Pick

by | Last updated May 5, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Friday, May 5th, 6:35 ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: SNPT
Money Line: Blue Jays -141/Pirates +120 (Where do you bet? Is it a GREAT book? Check out our Best Sportsbooks list for offers you may not be aware of!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Blue Jays on Friday, May 5th at PNC Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -141 -1.5 O 9 (-105)
PIT +120 +1.5 U 9 (-115)

Blue Jays vs. Pirates Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Matt Chapman 4 3B
Daulton Varsho 5 RF
Alejandro Kirk 6 C
Whit Merrifield 7 2B
Santiago Espinal 8 2B
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Chris Bassitt SP

 

Batting Order Position
Ke’Bryan Hayes 1 3B
Bryan Reynolds 2 CF
Andrew McCutchen 3 LF
Carlos Santana 4 1B
Jack Suwinski 5 RF
Connor Joe 6 LF
Rodolfo Castro 7 2B
Ji Hwan Bae 8 2B
Austin Hedges 9 C
Rich Hill SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 18-14 SU / OU 14-16 / Runline 15-17
Pittsburgh Pirates: 20-12 SU / OU 16-16 / Runline 20-12

Heading into their game vs. the Pirates, the Blue Jays have a record of 18-14 and have dropped five straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 7-2. At home, they have gone 9-3 and 9-11 on the road.

 

  • The Blue Jays have seven straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.0.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 71.9% of their games and have runline records of 6-6 and 9-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 14-16.

Against the Blue Jays, the Pirates are looking to shake a four two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 20-12 is stil good for 1st in the NL Central. At home, Pittsburgh has gone 9-4 and 11-8 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 6-2.

 

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in 62.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.2
  • The Pirates have been favored in 25.0% of their games and have runline records of 7-6 and 13-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 32 games, the over has hit in half of the Pirates’ games at 16-16.

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Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Chris Bassitt 6 6 33 3-2 5.18 1.21 6


Chris Bassitt has an overall record of 3-2, and will get the start for the Blue Jays. With six appearances, his ERA currently stands at 5.18, while his K/9 figure is 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.74 and an OBP of .303.

Chris Bassitt’s most recent outing saw him face the Mariners, where he allowed four runs and two hits in five innings of work. the Blue Jays ended up losing the game by a score of 10-8.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Rich Hill 6 6 32 3-2 4.45 1.39 7


The Pirates will turn to starter Rich Hill who has an overall record of 3-2. After six appearances, his ERA is 4.45 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.33 and an OBP of .324.

Rich Hill earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 6-3 win over the Nationals. He allowed three runs and eight hits across 6 1/3 innings.

Blue Jays vs. Pirates Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 32 games so far and have an average of 4.7 runs per game, putting them 11th in the league. Toronto has hit 36 home runs, ranking them 13th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .255, while hitting .244 on the road and .259 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .320 .393 .539 20 7 2
Matt Chapman .351 .435 .614 21 5 1
Bo Bichette .331 .372 .529 22 7 1


Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bo Bichette .347 9 5 2 .607
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .320 7 4 2 .670
Daulton Varsho .383 7 2 2 .733
Matt Chapman .220 5 2 0 .300
Kevin Kiermaier .167 3 5 0 .233


This season, Pittsburgh is ranked 9th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 5.0 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit 35 long balls so far. The team’s batting average stands at .255, which ranks 12th in the league. On the road, their batting average is 8th compared to 21st at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bryan Reynolds .367 5 .696 .450
Ke’Bryan Hayes .218 0 .333 .279
Carlos Santana .218 2 .372 .303
Andrew McCutchen .254 3 .418 .333
Jack Suwinski .304 6 .696 .454


Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Bryan Reynolds .486 9 4 0 .750
Connor Joe .208 5 4 1 .542
Carlos Santana .317 6 2 0 .467
Miguel Andujar .333 4 2 2 .833
Jack Suwinski .083 3 2 1 .195


Free MLB Pick

Chris Bassitt has looked really good in four out of his last five outings. Rich Hill has looked really good as well. After starting out like gangbusters, the Pittsburgh offense has gone ice cold, scoring a total of six runs over their last four games. That equates to a whopping 1.5 runs per game. There are a lot of variables here that point to an UNDER 9 bet. Get it fast, because I believe this line will drop!

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