Blue Jays vs. Rays Moneyline Pick 5/13/22

by | May 13, 2022 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, May 13th, 07:10 ET

Location: Tropicana Field

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Money Line: Blue Jays -118 / Rays -102 (BetNow - Use bonus code PREDICTEM to get a 100% real cash bonus up to $500!)

Total Line: 6.5

STARTING PITCHING

Toronto: Kevin Gausman (3-1, 2.13)
Tampa Bay: Drew Rasmussen (3-1, 2.89)

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal 2B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Alejandro Kirk C
Teoscar Hernández RF
Raimel Tapia CF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
George Springer RF
Bo Bichette SS
Kevin Gausman P

Rays Projected Lineup

Kevin Kiermaier CF
Taylor Walls SS
Yandy Díaz 3B
Manuel Margot RF
Mike Zunino C
Randy Arozarena LF
Ji-Man Choi 1B
Brandon Lowe 2B
Wander Franco SS
Drew Rasmussen P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Toronto Blue Jays: 17-15-0 SU / OU 14-18-0 / Run Line W/L 13-19-0
Tampa Bay Rays: 19-13-0 SU / OU 14-16-2 / Run Line W/L 15-17-0

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Toronto Blue Jays on Friday, May 13th at Tropicana Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-118), with an OU line set at 6.5.

Recent Form

Toronto heads into today’s action, looking to rebound from a 5-3 loss to the NY Yankees. Toronto’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 8 hits, leading to 5 runs. Offensively, they finished with just 3 runs on 9 hits. The loss came as Toronto was the betting underdog, getting 122.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Blue Jays and NY Yankees combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. On the season, Toronto’s over-under record is 14-18-0.

In their last 5 games, the Blue Jays are below .500, at 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -5. In their last 5 contests, Toronto is averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 3.84. So far, Toronto has won over half of their 10 series played, going 6-3-1.

Tampa Bay will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down Angels by 2 runs 4-2. For the game, the pitching staff held the Angels to 2 runs on 6 hits. At the plate, the Rays only came through for 4 runs on 5 hits. In the game, the Rays, got +101 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 7 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 43.0%. Combined, the Rays’ and the Angels’ run total fell below the OU line of 6.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 14-16-2.

The Rays come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -13 over their last 5 games. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 3.2 runs over their last 5 games. On the season, Tampa Bay has won more than half of their series, going 6-4-0.

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Pitching Matchup

Toronto will roll with Kevin Gausman (3-1) as their starter. Through 6 appearances, Gausman has an ERA of just 2.13 while averaging 6.33 innings per appearance. Across his previous starts, opposing team’s have put together a batting average of 0.255. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Gausman, as he is allowing just 0.0 per 9 innings. On the season, Kevin Gausman has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 31.0%, while averaging 7.6 K’s per game. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 0.24 walks per contest.

Drew Rasmussen gets the start for the Rays, with an overall record of 3-1. To date, Rasmussen has an ERA of 2.89 while lasting an average of 4.67 innings per appearance. Through 6 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.192. Home runs have also not been an issue for Rasmussen, as he is giving up just 0.64 per 9. Overall, he is averaging 4.33 per game, on a K rate of 23.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.25 walks per contest.

Toronto vs Tampa Bay History

Today’s game between Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays is their matchup of the year. Last year, Tampa Bay won the season series 11-8. The average scoring margin in these games was 3.53, with an over under record of 6-11-2. Last year, the two teams combined to average 8.37 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Blue Jays are 22-7 in their last 29 games following a loss.
  • Blue Jays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • Rays are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Rays are 51-21 in their last 72 vs. American League East.

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The betting odds suggest this is going to be a close game, with Toronto getting the slight edge at -118. Even though Drew Rasmussen has put together a strong start to the year, I give a significant edge to the Blue Jays and Kevin Gausman. In his 38 innings, Gausman has yet to give up a home run and has an FIP of just .78. Look for the Jays to pick up the win.

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