Blue Jays vs. Tigers Best Bet 6/11/22

by | Jun 11, 2022 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday June 11th, 04:10 ET

Location: Comerica Park

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Money Line: Blue Jays -230 / Tigers +190 (Get the best odds >>>)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Toronto: Kevin Gausman (5-4, 2.78)
Detroit: Beau Brieske (0-5, 4.93)

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Alejandro Kirk C
Teoscar Hernández RF
Santiago Espinal 2B
Raimel Tapia RF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
Kevin Gausman P

Tigers Projected Lineup

Spencer Torkelson 1B
Tucker Barnhart C
Javier Báez SS
Austin Meadows LF
Harold Castro 3B
Daz Cameron RF
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Willi Castro LF
Jonathan Schoop 2B
Beau Brieske P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Toronto Blue Jays: 34-23-0 SU / OU 27-29-1 / Run Line W/L 26-31-0
Detroit Tigers: 23-34-0 SU / OU 20-35-2 / Run Line W/L 27-30-0

The Detroit Tigers host the Toronto Blue Jays on Saturday June 11th at Comerica Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-230), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to pick up another big win, after they defeated the Tigers by a score of 10-1. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 5 hits. The Blue Jays lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 15 hits, leading to 10 runs. Heading into their last game, Toronto was the betting favorite at -215.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 42 of their games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. Together, the Blue Jays and Tigers combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. On the season, Toronto’s over-under record is 27-29-1.

The Blue Jays are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +18. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 7.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.49. So far, Toronto has won over half of their 19 series played, going 12-5-2.

Detroit will look to move on from a 9 runs loss to Blue Jays, falling by the score of 10-1. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 15 hits, leading to 10 runs. At the plate, the Tigers only came through for 1 run on 5 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Detroit came into the game as the underdog, getting 195.0. So far, the team has gone into 42 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 36.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Tigers and Blue Jays combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. So far, Detroit has an over-under record of just 20-35-2.

The Tigers come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -9. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 2.6, similar to their season-long average of 2.79. Detroit has a below .500 series record of just 5-12-2.

Pitching Matchup

Toronto will roll with Kevin Gausman (5-4) as their starter. In his previous outings, Gausman is lasting an average of 5.84, putting together an ERA of just 2.78. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Gausman, as he is allowing just 0.28 home runs per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Kevin Gausman has a strong strikeout percentage of 28%, including a per-game average of 6.64. Throughout the season, Gausman has avoided walking batters, allowing just 0.97 per contest.

Beau Brieske gets the start for the Tigers, with an overall record of 0-5. So far, Brieske has put together an ERA of 4.93. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.25 innings. So far, Brieske has a batting average allowed of 0.241. Home runs have been an issue for Brieske, as he is allowing an average of 2.57 per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Brieske has a strikeout percentage of just 16.0% and a per game average of 3.62. Throughout the season, Brieske has avoided walking batters, allowing just 3.21 per contest.

Toronto vs Detroit History

Today’s matchup between the Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers will be their 2nd meeting of the season. So far, Toronto is leading the season series, 1-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-0. The average run total in these games is 4.5 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 9.0 runs. When looking back to last season, Toronto and Detroit split the season series, with each team picking up 3 wins. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 0-6. Last year, the Blue Jays and Tigers averaged 4.5 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 1.83 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto’s last 8 games when playing Detroit
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit’s last 8 games when playing Toronto
  • Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s American League matchup between Toronto and Detroit, the Blue Jays are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Even though Kevin Kevin Gausman is coming off two mediocre starts, he has been outstanding in 2022. Even if Gausmann struggles yet again, I expect Toronto’s offense to jump all over Beau Brieske for the Tigers. I like the Blue Jays to cover the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Blue Jays Runline

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