Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals Total Pick

by | Last updated Aug 15, 2023 | mlb

Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals
Date: Tuesday, August 15th, 7:05 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: MASN
Money Line: Red Sox -170/Nationals +144 (Learn Reduced Juice! You’ll be glad you did!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Washington Nationals and the Red Sox on Tuesday, August 15th at Nationals Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
BOS -170 -1.5 O 9 (-117)
WSH +144 +1.5 U 9 (-105)

Red Sox vs. Nationals Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Jarren Duran 1 LF
Masataka Yoshida 2 DH
Trevor Story 3 SS
Rafael Devers 4 3B
Adam Duvall 5 CF
Triston Casas 6 1B
Alex Verdugo 7 RF
Luis Urías 8 2B
Connor Wong 9 C
Nick Pivetta SP

 

Batting Order Position
CJ Abrams 1 SS
Lane Thomas 2 RF
Joey Meneses 3 DH
Keibert Ruiz 4 C
Dominic Smith 5 1B
Jake Alu 6 2B
Ildemaro Vargas 7 3B
Blake Rutherford 8 LF
Alex Call 9 CF
Josiah Gray SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Boston Red Sox: 62-56 SU / OU 58-58 / Runline 62-56
Washington Nationals: 53-66 SU / OU 56-59 / Runline 65-54

So far this season, the Red Sox have an overall record of 62-56, putting them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are 11.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 27-28 and 35-28 at home. The team’s series record is 20-15-3.

 

  • The Red Sox have covered the runline in 52.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.2
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 49.2% of their games and have runline records of 33-30 and 29-26 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 118 games, the over has hit in half of the Red Sox’s games at 58-58.

As they take on the Red Sox, the Nationals have an overall record of 53-66 and are currently last in the NL East. However, they have rattled off three straight wins. At home, Washington has a mark of 25-34 compared to 28-32 on the road. Their series record sits at 14-22-2.

 

  • The Nationals have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.7.
  • The Nationals have been favored in 8.4% of their games and have runline records of 26-33 and 39-21 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 56-59.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Nick Pivetta 28 10 97 8-6 4.16 1.17 17

 

Across his 28 outings, Nick Pivetta has a record of 8-6 and ERA of 4.16. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last three appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.17 with an OBP allowed of .283. Pivetta’s strikeout to walk ratio is 120/38.

In Nick Pivetta’s last outing, he gave up two runs on four hits to the Royals. Pivetta came away with the win, as the Red Sox came out on top by a score of 4-3.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Josiah Gray 23 23 126 7-9 3.69 1.44 16

 

Entering with a record of 7-9, Josiah Gray is making his 24th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 3.69 on a batting average allowed of .245. On the road, he is 4-4 with a 2.98 ERA and 3-5 at home on an ERA of 5.62. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .392 against him.

In his most recent outing, Josiah Gray faced the Phillies and allowed four runs on six hits across 4 2/3 innings. Although he didn’t get the win or the loss, his team, the Nationals, won the game by a score of 5-4.

Red Sox vs. Nationals Offense Outlook

The Red Sox have played 119 games so far and are ranked 9th in the league with an average of 4.8 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they are 17th (132) and their overall batting average stands at .262. This includes a BA of .230 on the road and .277 at home.

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Masataka Yoshida .306 9 .481 .359
Justin Turner .290 12 .461 .349
Alex Verdugo .287 8 .472 .349
Jarren Duran .299 7 .502 .364
Rafael Devers .257 18 .503 .352

 

Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Trevor Story .458 7 3 0 .729
Adam Duvall .250 4 1 1 .500
Triston Casas .208 3 3 1 .458
Justin Turner .450 4 3 2 1.125
Connor Wong .250 3 0 0 .417

 

The Washington offense comes into the game with just 108 home runs, ranking them 26th in the league. The team’s current batting average is .260, putting them 5th in all of baseball. In terms of OPS, they are 16th in the league (.721).

Washington Nationals Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Lane Thomas .284 .329 .482 68 20 15
CJ Abrams .255 .306 .412 44 11 29
Joey Meneses .281 .326 .416 63 11 0

 

Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Keibert Ruiz .492 8 5 2 .829
Ildemaro Vargas .375 6 3 1 .688
Stone Garrett .417 5 2 0 .479
Joey Meneses .338 6 4 0 .400
CJ Abrams .163 3 0 0 .212

 

Free MLB Pick

The Nats have won seven of their last ten and go against James Paxton who has a positive record on the road, but only a modest 4.07 road ERA. Joshia Gray has good back numbers against the Bosox, but has struggled at home and hasn’t looked good in his two August starts. Take the Over 9.

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