Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Pick 6/5/21

by | Jun 5, 2021 | mlb

Boston Red Sox (33-23) vs. New York Yankees (31-26)

When: 7:15 p.m., Saturday, June 5

Where: Yankee Stadium, New York

Moneyline: BOS +105/NYY -127 (GTBets - Offers Predictem readers a SPECIAL 100% bonus where you can deposit anywhere from $100 to $500 and they’ll match you with a real cash bonus for the same amount!)

Runline: Red Sox +1.5/Yankees -1.5

Total: 9

Starting Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez (5-4, 5.64 ERA, 1.44 WHIP) vs. Jameson Taillon (1-4, 5.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP)

Is the Slump Over?

Betting the Red Sox on the under has been a fantastic way to make money for the past week, as Boston hasn’t seen more than seven runs scored in a game in six of its past seven contests. The one time when the Red Sox did see the over hit was in Rodriguez’s most recent start, as the Astros squashed the Red Sox by an 11-2 count in that contest.
Rodriguez hasn’t pitched well in either of his past two appearances, but the Red Sox offense hasn’t been doing anything to help him out as of late. Boston has scored just five runs in Rodriguez’s past four starts and lost all four games by three runs or more.

The Red Sox did show signs of getting their offense back on track in their past two games by scoring five runs on Thursday and Friday, but the fact remains that Boston’s offense has only produced when they take advantage of an opposing pitcher’s mistake for a home run. When the long ball isn’t happening, the Red Sox have been very easy to stop.

Get to the Bullpen…Please

With most teams, the goal is to get deep into the bullpen as quickly as possible. Against the Yankees, that’s actually what they’re hoping you do because New York’s bullpen has been as close to lights out as it gets this season. The bullpen has held opposing hitters to a batting average of under .200, and the Yanks have played to the under in seven of their past ten games, in large part because of their bullpen’s work.

In a recent series against the Tigers, the Yankees showed off just how strong their bullpen can be, as it was the one bright spot in an otherwise disastrous trip to Michigan. The Tigers scored 15 runs in sweeping the Yankees, but only two of those runs came after the fifth inning, and those were in extra innings. Given the prowess of New York’s bullpen, a sneaky play might be to bet the over for the first five innings. As good as the Yankees have been at the back end of games, they’ve struggled in the first few innings when anyone other than Gerrit Cole takes the ball. In six of their past nine games, at least five runs have scored in the first five innings.

How Low Can You Go?

It’s long past the point of being weird that the Yankees can’t hit. But it is a bit weird as to just how consistent the Yankees have been at cashing on the under this season. New York has cashed on the under in 13 of its past 16 contests and six of eight, and they just went through a series in which they scored a grand total of five runs in three games against Detroit.

Against Boston, baseball fans have gotten used to seeing the Yankees and Red Sox teeing off and putting up football-style numbers, but these Yankees have taken an all-or-nothing about approach at the plate, and this season, there’s not a lot to fear from the New York lineup. Aaron Judge can always turn the game around with one swing, but he also strikes out more than anyone else in pinstripes and has perfectly symbolized the problems with the Yankees’ approach to offense this year.

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox are 13-3 in their past 16 against the AL East.
  • The Red Sox are 6-2 in their past eight games after a win.
  • The Yankees are 2-6 in their past eight games overall.
  • The Yankees are 1-5 in their past six games as a favorite.
  • The under is 4-0 in the Red Sox’s past four road games.
  • The under is 5-1 in the Red Sox’s past six against a right-hander.
  • The Red Sox have lost 23 of their past 30 to the Yankees.

Weather Report

It’s going to be clear and hot in the Bronx, with temperatures hitting 87 degrees at first pitch. The wind could actually help, as it’s pushing 10 miles an hour out toward center field. However, keep in mind that center field is part of the wrong part of the park for home runs.

Dan’s Pick

Eventually, the Red Sox are going to figure out how to hit in a game where Rodriguez is on the mound again, and I think this is the game where they get that done. Boston has shown itself the better team, and the Yankees don’t look capable of putting up more than a couple of runs in a game.

This is a situation where I think the Red Sox and the under should be paired to maximize the amount of profit, as I think the offenses for both teams will continue their struggles. The Red Sox have the better pitching, and this is the time for that to show itself. Give me Boston. Bet this weekend’s MLB picks for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (must use bonus code PREDICT100 to get the bonus credited).