Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Predictions 6/15/22

by | Jun 15, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals
Date: Wednesday, June 15th, 07:05 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: Bally Sports South
Money Line: Braves -175 / Nationals +161 (BetOnline)
Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Atlanta: Spencer Strider (2-2, 2.82) Washington: Erick Fedde (4-4, 4.87)

Braves Projected Lineup

Adam Duvall LF Orlando Arcia 2B Marcell Ozuna LF Ronald Acuña Jr. RF William Contreras C Austin Riley 3B Michael Harris II CF Matt Olson 1B Dansby Swanson SS Spencer Strider P

Nationals Projected Lineup

Yadiel Hernandez LF Maikel Franco 3B Josh Bell 1B Juan Soto RF Keibert Ruiz C Luis Garcia SS Nelson Cruz CF Lane Thomas CF César Hernández 2B Erick Fedde P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Atlanta Braves: 36-27-0 SU / OU 34-26-3 / Run Line W/L 34-29-0 Washington Nationals: 23-41-0 SU / OU 33-28-3 / Run Line W/L 25-39-0

The Washington Nationals host the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, June 15th at Nationals Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-175), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

In Atlanta’s last game vs the Nationals, the Braves came away with a 10-4 win. The Nationals came up with 7 hits leading to 4 runs against Atlanta’s pitchers. The Braves benefited from an offense that generated 10 runs on 13 hits. Heading into their last game, Atlanta was the betting favorite, at -280.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 53 of their games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. With the over-under line set at 9.0 runs, the Braves and Nationals combined to go over this total. This result is part of a larger trend, as Atlanta has had the over has hit in more than half of their games (34-26-3).

In their last 5 games, the Braves have gone a perfect 5-0. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +20. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 7.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.76. So far, Atlanta has won over half of their 20 series played, going 8-7-5.

Washington is coming off a 6 run loss to the Braves. Dropping the game 10-4. Washington’s pitching staff gave up 13 hits, leading to 10 runs for the Braves. With their 7 hits, the Nationals could only plate 4 runners. This loss came as no surprise, as Washington came into the game as the underdog, getting 240.0. So far, the team has gone into 54 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 33.0%. The Nationals and Braves went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 33-28-3.

In their last 5 contests, the Nationals have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -5 over their last 5 games. Despite their struggles in the win column, the offense has averaged 5.8 runs over their last 5 games. This is an improvement over their season-long mark of 4.16. Washington has a below .500 series record of just 5-14-1.

Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send Spencer Strider to the mound with an overall record of 2-2. Currently, Strider has an ERA of just 2.82 while pitching an average of 2.72 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.176 against him. Home runs have not been an issue for Strider, as he is giving up just 0.24 HR/9. Overall, he is averaging 4.07 strikeouts per game, on a K rate of 37.0%. Command has been a problem for Strider, as he is giving up 4.46 walks per outing.

Washington will roll with Erick Fedde (4-4) as their starter. Fedde gets the start with an ERA of 4.87. On average, he has lasted 4.76 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.27. So far, Fedde has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.1 home runs per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 3.92 per game, on a K rate of 19.0%. Command has been a problem for Fedde, as he is giving up 4.4 walks per outing.

Atlanta vs Washington History

For the season, the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals will be playing their 6th game of the season. Atlanta has the lead in the series at 3-2. Through 5 games, the series’ over-under record is 4-1, with the average run total sitting at 9.16 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.6 runs. Last season, Atlanta picked up the series win, 14 games to 5. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-10, with the average run total being 9.16 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.63 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s matchup between Atlanta and Washington, not only are the Braves the hotter team, but they also have a significant advantage on the mound. Spencer Strider is coming off his best outing of the season, pitching 5 2/3 scoreless frames vs the Pirates. Look for the Braves to come up with another win over Washington. I like Atlanta on the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Braves -1.5 Runline

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