Braves vs. Rangers Expert Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated May 15, 2023 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Monday, May 15th, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Braves -138/Rangers +115
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Braves on Monday, May 15th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
ATL -138 -1.5 O 9 (-120)
TEX +115 +1.5 U 9 (100)

Braves vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Matt Olson 2 1B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Sean Murphy 4 C
Eddie Rosario 5 LF
Ozzie Albies 6 2B
Travis d’Arnaud 7 C
Michael Harris II 8 CF
Orlando Arcia 9 2B
Charlie Morton SP


Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Robbie Grossman 2 LF
Nathaniel Lowe 3 1B
Adolis García 4 RF
Josh Jung 5 3B
Jonah Heim 6 C
Ezequiel Duran 7 2B
Leody Taveras 8 CF
Josh H. Smith 9 3B
Dane Dunning SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Atlanta Braves: 25-15 SU / OU 23-16 / Runline 19-21
Texas Rangers: 25-15 SU / OU 23-15 / Runline 25-15

Against the Rangers, the Braves are looking to shake a four two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 25-15 is stil good for 1st in the NL East. At home, Atlanta has gone 10-9 and 15-6 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 9-2.

  • The Braves have covered the runline in 47.5% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.3
  • The Braves have been favored in 82.5% of their games and have runline records of 5-14 and 14-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 59% of the Braves’ 40 games at 23-16.

The Rangers take on the Braves in the middle of a two game winning streak and are leading the AL West on an overall record of 25-15. So far, they are 13-9 on the road and 12-6 at home. Texas’ overall series record stands at 8-3.

  • The Rangers have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 2.4.
  • The Rangers have been favored in 57.5% of their games and have runline records of 11-7 and 14-8 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 61% of the Rangers’ 40 games at 23-15.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Charlie Morton 7 7 40 4-3 3.32 1.40 4

 

Charlie Morton has an overall record of 4-3, and will get the start for the Braves. With seven appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.32, while his K/9 figure is 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.05 and an OBP of .331.

The Braves picked up a win the last time Charlie Morton took the mound, taking down the Red Sox by a score of 9-3. In six innings of work, he allowed five hits and two earned runs while adding a W to his record.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Dane Dunning 10 2 31 3-0 1.72 .86 0

 

With an overall record of 3-0, the Rangers will give Dane Dunning the start. His ERA stands at 1.72 with a K/9 figure of 0.6 after making 10 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 2.93 and an OBP of .242.

In his last outing, Dane Dunning finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 4-3 victory over the Mariners. Dunning gave up two runs and six hits across six innings.

Braves vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

The Braves have played 40 games so far this season and are currently ranked 7th in the league with an average of 5.2 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Atlanta is 3rd, having hit the ball out of the park 64 times. Their overall batting average is .256, including .254 on the road and .248 at home.

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Ronald Acuña Jr. .348 6 .589 .434
Austin Riley .231 2 .324 .284
Matt Olson .245 9 .571 .411
Eddie Rosario .227 1 .340 .270
Sean Murphy .238 6 .525 .394

 

Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ronald Acuña Jr. .400 8 6 2 .750
Marcell Ozuna .372 4 3 1 .772
Matt Olson .100 1 2 1 .400
Sean Murphy .188 3 1 0 .250
Ozzie Albies .080 2 1 1 .200

 

The Rangers have hit 53 home runs this season, making them one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball (7th). In addition to their impressive home run stats, they are averaging 6.4 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .266. At home, their slugging percentage is .470, compared to .401 on the road.

Texas Rangers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Marcus Semien .310 7 .552 .404
Nathaniel Lowe .294 4 .505 .373
Adolis García .257 7 .487 .336
Jonah Heim .272 5 .489 .354
Josh Jung .223 4 .357 .277

 

Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Marcus Semien .297 6 6 2 .567
Robbie Grossman .277 7 5 2 .620
Nathaniel Lowe .290 6 4 1 .630
Adolis García .400 6 2 1 .560
Ezequiel Duran .297 6 4 1 .527

 

Free MLB Pick

Atlanta has lost four games in a row and haven’t been hitting much, only putting up 2, 0, 2, and 5 runs during their skid. They had to deal with customs and fly 3.5 hours to Arlington yesterday, which is a drain. They’ll send Charlie Morton to the hill, who has an ERA of around 5 on the road.

The Rangers have been ROLLIN’ lately, winners of four of their last five games. They put up 11 runs last night in Oakland. Texas will send Dane Dunning to the mound, who has been filthy this season with a 1.72 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. Question: Do you live bet games? If so, you’re not playing on the best platform unless you’re at Bovada! Check out our Bovada Sportsbook Review and then their site! Their live wagering platform is phenomenal!

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