Brewers vs Cardinals Odds & Moneyline Pick

by | May 28, 2022 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Saturday, May 28th, 02:15 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Money Line: Brewers -110 / Cardinals -110 (Bovada)
Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Milwaukee: Adrian Houser (3-4, 2.98)
St. Louis: Matthew Liberatore (0-0, 7.71)

Brewers Projected Lineup

Lorenzo Cain CF
Kolten Wong 2B
Tyrone Taylor RF
Mike Brosseau 2B
Victor Caratini C
Christian Yelich LF
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Andrew McCutchen LF
Luis Urías SS
Adrian Houser P

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Corey Dickerson LF
Harrison Bader CF
Juan Yepez LF
Brendan Donovan RF
Nolan Gorman 2B
Nolan Arenado 3B
Andrew Knizner C
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Tommy Edman SS

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Milwaukee Brewers: 29-17-0 SU / OU 19-24-3 / Run Line W/L 22-24-0
St. Louis Cardinals: 25-20-0 SU / OU 22-21-2 / Run Line W/L 25-20-0

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday, May 28th at Busch Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-110), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In Milwaukee’s last game, they fell to St. Louis by a score of 4-2. On their way to giving up 4 runs, the Brewers staff allowed 5 hits. With their 8 hits, the Brewers could only muster 2 runs. This defeat came despite being favored at -138.0. Through 40 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 62.0%. Combined, the Brewers and St. Louis fell short of the over-under betting line of 7.5 runs. With this result, Milwaukee’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 19-24-3.

The Brewers come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential 2. Milwaukee has put together this record, despite averaging just 2.8 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.50. So far, Milwaukee has won over half of their 16 series played, going 10-4-2.

St. Louis will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down Brewers by 2 runs 4-2. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 2 runs on hits 8 hits. The Cardinals’ offense ended the game with 4 runs on 5 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 128.0 on the moneyline, the Cardinals still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 20 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 45.0%. With this result, the Cardinals and the Brewers combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. Even still, St. Louis games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at (22-21-2).

Across their last 5 contests, the Cardinals are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of 12 (last 5). The Cardinals’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.78. On the season, St. Louis has won more than half of their series, going 7-3-5.

Pitching Matchup

Milwaukee will roll with Adrian Houser (3-4) as their starter. In his previous outings, Houser is lasting an average of 5.26 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.98. So far, batters are hitting just 0.219 against him. Not only does Houser have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.21 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Houser is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.375 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.04 walks per outing.

For the Cardinals, starting pitcher Matthew Liberatore has yet to factor into a decision. So far, Liberatore has put together an ERA of 7.71. In his only outing, he lasted 4.2 innings, giving up 4 runs on 7 hits to the Pirates. This appearance included 1 home run allowed.

Milwaukee vs St. Louis History

Today’s matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals will be their 6th meeting of the season. So far, the teams have each won 3 times. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-4. The average run total in these games is 8.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.0 runs. Dating back to last season, St. Louis picked up 11 wins compared to 8, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 9-9, with the average run total being 8.21 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.68 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
  • St. Louis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

In Saturday’s NL Central matchup between the Brewers and Cardinals, I recommend taking the experience and consistency of Adrian Houser over the Matthew Liberatore. Even though Milwaukee’s offense is prone to inconsistency, they have been opportunistic against below-average starters. Look for the Brewers to pick up the win.

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