Brewers vs. Dodgers Best Bet 8/24/22

by | Aug 24, 2022 | mlb

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Wednesday August 24th, 09:00 ET

Location: Dodger Stadium

TV: SportsNet LA

Money Line: Brewers +200 / Dodgers -245 (Bet on MLB for less at BAS!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Milwaukee: Adrian Houser (4-8, 4.72)
Los Angeles: Andrew Heaney (1-1, 1.77)

Brewers Projected Lineup

Luis Urías 3B
Victor Caratini C
Hunter Renfroe RF
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Mike Brosseau 3B
Tyrone Taylor CF
Andrew McCutchen LF
Christian Yelich LF
Willy Adames SS

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Max Muncy 3B
Hanser Alberto 2B
Justin Turner 3B
Mookie Betts RF
Chris Taylor LF
Trayce Thompson RF
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Andrew Heaney P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Milwaukee Brewers: 65-57-0 SU / OU 61-53-8 / Run Line W/L 50-72-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 85-37-0 SU / OU 50-62-10 / Run Line W/L 76-46-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday August 24th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:00 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-245), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Brewers are hoping to get back on track after falling to the LA Dodgers by a score of 10-1. Milwaukee’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 12 hits, leading to 10 runs. With their 4 hits, the Brewers could only muster 1 run. The loss came as Milwaukee was the betting underdog, getting 135.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Brewers and LA Dodgers combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.0 runs. Milwaukee has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (61-53-8).

Over the Brewers’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -4. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.50. So far, Milwaukee has won over half of their 40 series played, going 17-15-8.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a big win over the Brewers by a score of 10-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Brewers to 1 run on 4 hits. Offensively, they finished with 10 runs on 12 hits. Heading into action, Los Angeles was the favorite at -160.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 119 games, winning at a rate of 71.0%. The Dodgers and Brewers went over the run total line set at 7.0 runs. Against the run total, Los Angeles is just 50-62-10.

Across their last 5 contests, the Dodgers are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +20 (last 5). Los Angeles is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 5.8 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 5.34. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 27-9-3.

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Pitching Matchup

Milwaukee will roll with Adrian Houser (4-8) as their starter. To date, Houser has an ERA of 4.72 while lasting an average of 5.07 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.271. So far, Houser has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.95 home runs per 9 innings. Houser has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 17.0% and a per game average of 3.8. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Houser is averaging 3.66 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Los Angeles turns to starter Andrew Heaney. For the year, he has a record of 1-1. Currently, Heaney has a strong ERA of just 1.77 while pitching an average of 4.4 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.194. Per 9 innings pitched, Heaney is giving up 1.02 home runs. Heaney’s current strikeout average is 6.5 per game. This includes a K rate of 34.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.78 walks per contest.

Milwaukee vs Los Angeles History

For the season, the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers will be playing their 7th game of the season. So far, the teams have each won 3 times. Through 6 games, the series’ over-under record is 3-3, with the average run total sitting at 10.86 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.5 runs. Los Angeles won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 4 wins to 3. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 5-2. Last year, the Brewers and Dodgers averaged 10.86 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.29 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee’s last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
  • Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
  • LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s matchup between Milwaukee and Los Angeles, the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Even though Milwaukee beat the Dodgers last week with Andrew Heaney on the mound, I expect the LA offense to have another big outing. Adrian Houser comes off the injured list for Milwaukee but wasn’t particularly effective before his injury. I like Los Angeles on the runline.

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