Brewers vs. Reds Picks & Predictions 5/10/22

by | May 10, 2022 | mlb

Pitching Matchup

For the Brewers, Freddy Peralta gets the start. Heading into action, he has a record of 1-1. To date, Peralta has an ERA of 5.09 while lasting an average of 4.6 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.239. Despite opposing team’s finding success getting on base against Peralta, he has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.39 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Freddy Peralta has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 30.0%, while averaging 6.0 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.91 walks per outing.

Cincinnati will send Hunter Greene to the mound with a record of 1-4. Leading up to the game, Greene is hoping to bring down an ERA of 8.71. So far, he is averaging 4.04 innings per outing. Opposing teams have been able to string together hit against Greene, with a batting average allowed of 0.311. Not only are opposing teams getting on base through hits at an above average rate, they are also doing damage through home runs. So far, Greene is allowing 4.46 homers per 9 innings pitched. A strength of Hunter Greene’s game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 28%. Throughout the season, walks have been an issue, as he is giving up 4.79 free passes per outing.

Milwaukee vs Cincinnati History

Today’s matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds will be their 4th meeting of the season. with Milwaukee leading the season series, 3-1. Through 4 games, the series’ over-under record is 4-0, with the average run total sitting at 8.16 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.75 runs. Going back to last year, Milwaukee won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 8-10. Last year, the Brewers and Reds averaged 8.16 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.53 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Despite the Brewers dropping 3 straight games, they come into this contest with Cincinnati at -180 on the money line. In their last matchup against Hunter Greene, the Brewers had a home run derby at American Family Field. However, instead of taking Milwaukee to win, I recommend grabbing the over. Great American Ballpark is one of the most home run friendly venues in the league, and Brewers starter Freddy Peralta has been experiencing some early season struggles.

Free MLB Pick: Over 8 Runs

Pitching Matchup

For the Brewers, Freddy Peralta gets the start. Heading into action, he has a record of 1-1. To date, Peralta has an ERA of 5.09 while lasting an average of 4.6 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.239. Despite opposing team’s finding success getting on base against Peralta, he has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.39 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Freddy Peralta has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 30.0%, while averaging 6.0 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.91 walks per outing.

Cincinnati will send Hunter Greene to the mound with a record of 1-4. Leading up to the game, Greene is hoping to bring down an ERA of 8.71. So far, he is averaging 4.04 innings per outing. Opposing teams have been able to string together hit against Greene, with a batting average allowed of 0.311. Not only are opposing teams getting on base through hits at an above average rate, they are also doing damage through home runs. So far, Greene is allowing 4.46 homers per 9 innings pitched. A strength of Hunter Greene’s game is his ability to generate swings and misses, striking out batters at a rate of 28%. Throughout the season, walks have been an issue, as he is giving up 4.79 free passes per outing.

Milwaukee vs Cincinnati History

Today’s matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds will be their 4th meeting of the season. with Milwaukee leading the season series, 3-1. Through 4 games, the series’ over-under record is 4-0, with the average run total sitting at 8.16 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.75 runs. Going back to last year, Milwaukee won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 8-10. Last year, the Brewers and Reds averaged 8.16 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.53 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Despite the Brewers dropping 3 straight games, they come into this contest with Cincinnati at -180 on the money line. In their last matchup against Hunter Greene, the Brewers had a home run derby at American Family Field. However, instead of taking Milwaukee to win, I recommend grabbing the over. Great American Ballpark is one of the most home run friendly venues in the league, and Brewers starter Freddy Peralta has been experiencing some early season struggles.

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