Cardinals vs. Pirates Runline Bet 9/9/22

by | Last updated Sep 9, 2022 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday September 9th, 06:35 ET

Location: PNC Park

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Money Line: Cardinals -200 / Pirates +165 (BetOnline – 500K NFL Handicapping Contest + 200K Survivor Pool!)

Total Line: 8.0


St. Louis: Miles Mikolas (11-10, 3.32)
Pittsburgh: Roansy Contreras (4-4, 3.41)

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Nolan Gorman 2B
Yadier Molina C
Corey Dickerson LF
Tyler O’Neill CF
Lars Nootbaar RF
Nolan Arenado 3B
Tommy Edman SS
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Brendan Donovan 3B
Miles Mikolas P

Pirates Projected Lineup

Michael Chavis 1B
Tucupita Marcano LF
Ke’Bryan Hayes 3B
Jack Suwinski CF
Jason Delay C
Rodolfo Castro 2B
Ben Gamel 1B
Oneil Cruz SS
Bryan Reynolds CF
Roansy Contreras P


St. Louis Cardinals: 81-57-0 SU / OU 66-67-5 / Run Line W/L 79-59-0
Pittsburgh Pirates: 50-86-0 SU / OU 60-67-9 / Run Line W/L 66-70-0

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday September 9th at PNC Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Cardinals are hoping to get back on track after falling to Washington by a score of 11-6. In the loss, St. Louis’s pitchers gave up 11 runs on 18 hits. On offense, the Cardinals 11 hits and 6 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. Cardinals suffered the loss, despite being favored at -280.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 90 of their games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. Together, the Cardinals and Washington combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.5 runs. On the season, St. Louis’s over-under record is 66-67-5.

In the Cardinals last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Despite their recent success, their last 5 run margin comes in at -5. St. Louis comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.6 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.91. So far, St. Louis has won over half of their 42 series played, going 23-10-9.

Pittsburgh will look to move on from a 10 run loss to the Mets, falling by the score of 10-0. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 17 hits, leading to 10 runs. The Pirates’ offense ended the game with 0 runs on 4 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Pittsburgh came into the game as the underdog, getting 310.0. So far, the team has gone into 115 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 33.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Pirates and Mets combined to surpass the line of 7.0 runs. So far, Pittsburgh has an over-under record of just 60-67-9.

In their last 5 contests, the Pirates have just 1 win, going 1-4. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -12 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (2.6) similar to their season long average of 3.50. Pittsburgh has a below .500 series record of just 9-28-7.

Pitching Matchup

The St. Louis Cardinals will send Miles Mikolas to the mound with an overall record of 11-10. In his previous outings, Mikolas has lasted an average of 6.29 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.32. So far, batters are hitting just 0.225 against him. Per 9 innings pitched, Mikolas is averaging 1.07 home runs allowed. Per game, Miles Mikolas is averaging 4.54, on a strikeout percentage of 18.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Mikolas is averaging 1.58 free passes per outing.

Pittsburgh will roll with Roansy Contreras (4-4) as their starter. Contreras gets the start with an ERA of 3.41. On average, he has lasted 4.62 innings per appearance. Through 16 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.226. This year, home runs have been an issue for Contreras. So far, he has allowed 1.22 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Roansy Contreras has a strong K% of 22.0%, including a per-game average of 4.38. Contreras comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 4.01 free passes per outing.

St. Louis vs Pittsburgh History

Today’s matchup between the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates will be their 11th meeting of the season. St. Louis has the lead in the series at 8-2. Through 10 games, the series over-under record is 6-2, with the average run total sitting at 8.68 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.9 runs. Last season, St. Louis picked up the series win, 12 games to 7. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 7-9, with the average run total being 8.68 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.63 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our Atlanta vs. Seattle 9/9/22 predicted money line winner

Betting Trends

  • Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 Friday games.
  • Cardinals are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a loss.
  • Pirates are 18-37 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Pirates are 21-47 in their last 68 vs. a team with a winning record.

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Heading into Friday’s NL Central matchup between St. Louis and Pittsburgh, the Cardinals are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. However, they are coming off a surprising series split against the Nationals. Pittsburgh starter Roansy Contreras has been excellent of late for the Pirates and should help Pittsburgh hang around. I recommend taking Pittsburgh on the runline.

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