Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Total Pick 8/27/23

by | Last updated Aug 27, 2023 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Date: Sunday, August 27th, 1:35 ET
Location: PNC Park
TV: SNPT
Money Line: Cubs -125/Pirates +104
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cubs on Sunday, August 27th at PNC Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CHC -125 -1.5 O 9 (-106)
PIT +104 +1.5 U 9 (-116)

Cubs vs. Pirates Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Christopher Morel 1 DH
Nico Hoerner 2 2B
Ian Happ 3 LF
Cody Bellinger 4 CF
Dansby Swanson 5 SS
Yan Gomes 6 C
Seiya Suzuki 7 RF
Jeimer Candelario 8 3B
Patrick Wisdom 9 1B
Javier Assad SP


Batting Order Position
Ji Hwan Bae 1 CF
Bryan Reynolds 2 LF
Andrew McCutchen 3 DH
Jack Suwinski 4 RF
Ke’Bryan Hayes 5 3B
Endy Rodriguez 6 C
Liover Peguero 7 2B
Alfonso Rivas 8 1B
Alika Williams 9 SS
Bailey Falter SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 68-61 SU / OU 67-56 / Runline 67-62
Pittsburgh Pirates: 58-72 SU / OU 69-56 / Runline 64-66

The Cubs head into today’s game vs. the Pirates with an overall record of 68-61. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL Central. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 3-2 and have a road and home record of 33-31 and 35-30, respectively. Chicago’s overall series record sits at 21-14-5.

  • The Cubs have covered the runline in 51.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Cubs have been favored in 51.9% of their games and have runline records of 33-32 and 34-30 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 54% of the Cubs’ 129 games at 67-56.

For the season, the Pirates have put together a record of 58-72, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the NL Central standings, they are 4th, trailing by 14.5 games. This year, they have gone 32-35 at home and 26-37 on the road with an overall series mark of 13-22-5.

  • The Pirates have covered the runline in 49.2% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.7
  • The Pirates have been favored in 20.0% of their games and have runline records of 32-35 and 32-31 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Pirates’ 130 games at 69-56.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Javier Assad 23 5 72 2-2 3.12 1.25 9

 

Coming in with a record of 2-2, Javier Assad will get the start for the Cubs. Through 23 appearances, he has an ERA of 3.12 and batting average allowed of .225. Opponents have walked 30 times vs. Assad along with 53 strikeouts. Assad’s WHIP stands at 1.25 with a SLG allowed of .386.

In his most recent outing, Javier Assad faced the Tigers and allowed two runs on five hits across 5 1/3 innings. Although he didn’t get the win or the loss, his team, the Cubs, won the game by a score of 7-6.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Bailey Falter 12 10 59 1-7 4.53 1.43 11

 

Pittsburgh will give the starting nod to Bailey Falter, entering with a record of 1-7. Falter is on a two game streak of finishing with fewer than three earned runs allowed. So far, his ERA is 4.53, including a FIP figure of 4.82. Overall, opponents have a slugging percentage of .482 against him. Falter’s strikeout total currently sits at 46.

In Bailey Falter’s last outing, he gave up one run on three hits to the Cardinals. Falter came away with the win, as the Pirates came out on top by a score of 11-1.

Cubs vs. Pirates Offense Outlook

The Cubs have played 129 games and have an average of 5.1 runs per game, which puts them 5th in the league. Chicago has hit 155 home runs (13th). Their batting average comes in at .254, while hitting .239 on the road and .255 at home.

Chicago Cubs Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Nico Hoerner .277 .336 .393 62 9 33
Ian Happ .241 .359 .411 63 15 11
Jeimer Candelario .267 .349 .485 62 18 8

 

Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ian Happ .250 5 5 1 .500
Seiya Suzuki .420 8 4 0 .647
Dansby Swanson .167 3 4 1 .317
Jeimer Candelario .207 4 2 1 .473
Cody Bellinger .230 5 3 0 .280

 

The Pirates have played 130 games so far this season and are currently ranked 23rd in the league with an average of 4.2 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Pittsburgh is 25th, having hit the ball out of the park 127 times. Their overall batting average is .235, including .219 on the road and .238 at home.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Pirates 130 4.2 (23rd) 127 (25th) .235 (18th) .314 (13th) .314 (13th)

 

Pittsburgh Pirates Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Ke’Bryan Hayes .442 7 5 2 .829
Connor Joe .483 7 2 0 .600
Bryan Reynolds .237 5 3 0 .393
Andrew McCutchen .200 4 1 1 .500
Joshua Palacios .090 2 2 1 .210

 

Free MLB Pick

Take the Over 9 -110. Sunday Tip: Make sure you’re betting on games at a reduced juice sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you made the switch!

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