Cincinnati at Cleveland Free MLB Pick

by | Last updated May 18, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians
Date: Wednesday, May 18th, 7:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
Money Line: Reds +110/ Guardians -133
Total Line: 7.5


Cincinnati: Tyler Mahle (2-4, 5.89)
Guardians: Cal Quantrill (1-2, 3.93)

Reds Projected Lineup

TJ Friedl
Brandon Drury
Tommy Pham
Mike Moustakas
Tyler Stephenson
Colin Moran
Tyler Naquin
Kyler Farmer
Matt Reynolds

Guardians Projected Lineup

Myles Straw
Steven Kwan
Jose Ramirez
Owen Miller
Amed Rosario
Franmil Reyes
Andres Gimenez
Richie Palacios
Austin Hedges


Cincinnati Reds: 10-26-0 SU / OU 23-12-1 / Run Line W/L 15-21-0
Cleveland Guardians: 16-18-0 SU / OU 20-14-0 / Run Line W/L 17-17-0

The Cleveland Guardians host the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday, May 18th at Progressive Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 7:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board has the Guardians as the favorite at -133 on the moneyline.

Recent Form

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 5-4 extra inning win over the Guardians. The Reds were able to pull out the win, despite blowing the lead in 9th inning. Starter Connor Overton lasted 7.2 innings, giving up just 2 runs and 3 hits. Overton only came up with 2 strikeouts but walked just 1 batter.

The Cincinnati Reds come into the game having won 4 of their past 6 games. This is a significant improvement for the team, as they have just 6 additional wins for the entire reason. However, before last night’s victory, the Reds were held to just 1 run in two-straight games.

The Cleveland Guardians hope to get some revenge on the Reds, as they spoiled the team’s late game rally. Zach Plesac lasted 6 innings, holding the Reds to just 2 runs on 6 hits. Out of the leadoff spot, Myles Straw, came up with 2 RBI’s.

Heading into the game, the Guardians are hoping to turn things around, as they have lost 4 of their past 5 games. Currently, Cleveland is 3rd in the AL Central, sitting 3.5 games behind the Minnesota Twins.

Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will turn to Tyler Mahle, who has a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 5.89. The Reds have won the past 2 games in which Mahle has pitched. In both of these outings, he limited opponets to just 2 runs. Through 7 starts, Mahle has given up just 3 home runs.

The Cleveland Guardians are sending right-hander Cal Quantrill to the mound with a record of 1-2 and a 3.93 ERA. For the season, Quantrill has made 6 starts, posting a WHIP of 1.28 and a batting average allowed of .234. In each of his past 4 starts, the righty has lasted at least 6 innings.

Cincinnati vs Philadelphia History

Today’s matchup will be the 4th meeting of the season between the Reds and Guardians. So far, Cleveland has the edge at 2-1. The Guardians have been favored in each game. All 3 games have surpassed the posted run total line.

More Picks: Get our Reds vs. Guardians 5/18/22 Moneyline Analysis & Pick

Betting Trends

  • Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Reds are 20-41 in their last 61 games as an underdog.
  • Reds are 17-35 in their last 52 during game 2 of a series.
  • Guardians are 38-14 in their last 52 games as a home favorite.
  • Guardians are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s game, the Guardians are the favorite at -133. I recommend taking Cleveland to pick up the win over Cincinnati. However, given the way the Guardians are playing, I would stick to the moneyline. Between the two squads, Cleveland has been a far better offensive team, ranking 5th in batting average and 7th in runs scored. Look for this advantage to play out in a bounce-back win over the Reds.

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