Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Pick 7/3/23

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Date: Monday, July 3rd, 6:05 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Reds -129/Nationals +108
Total Line: 10.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Washington Nationals and the Reds on Monday, July 3rd at Nationals Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Reds vs. Nationals Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
TJ Friedl	1	CF
Matt McLain	2	SS
Jonathan India	3	2B
Elly De La Cruz	4	SS
Jake Fraley	5	LF
Joey Votto	6	1B
Spencer Steer	7	1B
Will Benson	8	RF
Tyler Stephenson	9	C
Luke Weaver	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Lane Thomas	1	RF
Luis García	2	2B
Jeimer Candelario	3	3B
Joey Meneses	4	DH
Corey Dickerson	5	LF
Keibert Ruiz	6	C
Dominic Smith	7	1B
Derek Hill	8	CF
CJ Abrams	9	SS
Jake Irvin	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cincinnati Reds: 45-39 SU / OU 49-35 / Runline 52-32
Washington Nationals: 34-49 SU / OU 39-41 / Runline 48-35

The Reds head into today’s game in first place in the NL Central on a record of 45-39. Over their last ten games, they have put together an above .500 record of 6-4. At home, Cincinnati is 23-21 and 22-18 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 13-10-3.

• The Reds have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
• The Reds have been favored in 23.8% of their games and have runline records of 26-18 and 26-14 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 58% of the Reds’ 84 games at 49-35.

With an overall record of 34-49, the Nationals are in 5th place in the NL East, trailing by 22 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Nationals have a mark of 21-22 while going 13-27 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 8-17-2.

• The Nationals have covered the runline in 57.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.9
• The Nationals have been favored in 3.6% of their games and have runline records of 17-23 and 31-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 39-41.

Pitching Matchup




With an overall record of 1-2, Luke Weaver gets the start for Cincinnati. His ERA stands at 6.96, with a K/9 figure of 0.8 after making 13 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.42 and an OBP of .355.

Giving up four runs and six hits during his last appearance against the Orioles, Luke Weaver did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Reds managed to win the game by a score of 11-7.




Entering with a record of 1-4, Jake Irvin is making his 11th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 4.72 on a batting average allowed of .251. On the road, he is 1-1 with a 3.99 ERA and 0-3 at home on an ERA of 5.96. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .366 against him.

Jake Irvin is coming off an outing against the Mariners in which he gave up three runs and five hits across 5 2/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Nationals won by a score of 7-4.

Reds vs. Nationals Offense Outlook

After 84 games played, the Reds are 7th in the league with an average of 5 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 18th, on a total of 88 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .253 on the road and .250 at home, is .256.

Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters On The Road




Cincinnati Reds Top Hitters: Last Five Games




With 68 home runs, the Nationals rank just 25th in the league. However, their batting average is strong, ranking 4th in the MLB at .261. The team’s current OPS stands at .712.

Washington Nationals Top Hitters vs. Righties




Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

One of the better underdog opportunities over the past month has reared its head and you’ll never guess who it is! The Washington Nationals? The team is 6-2 over their last eight games and will be facing Luke Weaver who has given up 27 runs over his last 26.2 innings. This spanned over six games in which he was equally bad in each game.

I suggest betting this quickly, as it’s likely to drop as it gets closer to first pitch! I’m betting the Washington Nationals at +105.