Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview & Prediction

by | Jun 3, 2023 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Saturday, June 3rd, 7:15 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: FOX
Money Line: Guardians +113/Twins -135
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Guardians on Saturday, June 3rd at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CLE +113 +1.5 O 7.5 (-112)
MIN -135 -1.5 U 7.5 (-109)

Guardians vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
Amed Rosario 2 SS
José Ramírez 3 3B
Josh Naylor 4 1B
Andrés Giménez 5 2B
Will Brennan 6 CF
Myles Straw 7 CF
David Fry 8 C
Cam Gallagher 9 C
Logan Allen SP


Batting Order Position
Donovan Solano 1 SS
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Byron Buxton 3 DH
Kyle Farmer 4 SS
Alex Kirilloff 5 1B
Ryan Jeffers 6 C
Willi Castro 7 SS
Jorge Polanco 8 2B
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Sonny Gray SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 25-32 SU / OU 22-34 / Runline 26-31
Minnesota Twins: 31-27 SU / OU 25-29 / Runline 30-28

Heading into their game vs. the Twins, the Guardians have a record of 25-32 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 7-11. At home, they have gone 12-15 and 13-17 on the road.

  • The Guardians have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.6.
  • The Guardians have been favored in 56.1% of their games and have runline records of 10-17 and 16-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 22-34.

The Twins take on the Guardians in the middle of a three game winning streak and are leading the AL Central on an overall record of 31-27. So far, they are 13-15 on the road and 18-12 at home. Minnesota’s overall series record stands at 8-9-1.

  • The Twins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.8.
  • The Twins have been favored in 62.1% of their games and have runline records of 14-16 and 16-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 25-29.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Logan Allen 7 7 39 2-2 2.72 1.31 3


The Guardians will turn to starter Logan Allen who has an overall record of 2-2. After seven appearances, his ERA is 2.72, and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 2.93 and an OBP of .297.

Cleveland is hoping that Logan Allen can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Orioles (5-0) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on three hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Sonny Gray 11 11 60 4-0 1.94 1.19 0


The Twins will turn to starter Sonny Gray who has an overall record of 4-0. After 11 appearances, his ERA is 1.94 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 2.19 and an OBP of .285.

Gray is coming off an outing in which he was good enough to notch a quality start, but still too a no-decision in the Twins’ 7-5 win over the Astros. Individually, he went six innings and gave up two earned runs on four hits.

Guardians vs. Twins Offense Outlook

The Guardians have played 57 games and currently hold the 25th spot in the league with an average of 3.6 runs per game. With 33 home runs, Cleveland is 22nd in the league. The team’s batting average, including .235 on the road and .219 at home, is .233.

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Steven Kwan .264 0 .328 .287
José Ramírez .278 4 .463 .354
Myles Straw .272 0 .350 .321
Andrés Giménez .236 2 .327 .283
Will Brennan .295 1 .385 .315


Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Josh Naylor .450 7 4 1 .783
Steven Kwan .270 7 5 0 .360
Will Brennan .604 9 2 0 .729
José Ramírez .240 6 4 0 .357
Andrés Giménez .310 7 1 0 .410


So far this season, the Twins are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 76 home runs (8th). Overall, Minnesota is averaging 4.6 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .234. At home, the Twins have a slugging percentage of .355 compared to .428 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Donovan Solano .311 0 .444 .348
Willi Castro .250 1 .375 .318
Carlos Correa .250 2 .472 .377
Kyle Farmer .320 1 .440 .356
Jorge Polanco .350 1 .600 .404


Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Alex Kirilloff .517 7 3 0 .567
Royce Lewis .225 4 3 2 .625
Ryan Jeffers .400 6 2 1 .738
Willi Castro .475 5 5 0 .475
Donovan Solano .467 6 1 0 .617


Free MLB Pick

I’m willing to take a shot at the Under here. Logan Allen has been fantastic on the road with a 1.53 ERA and 1.08 WHIP and Sonny Gray has been even better at home with 1.27 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. These two were the starters in a game on May 6th and while there weren’t dominating they pitched okay in game that ended up 4-3 to go Under the 7.5 line. Additionally, if one falters both teams have solid bullpens to pick up the pieces and the Under is 4-1 in their five matches this season including three games with two or fewer runs scored.

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