Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres Odds, Analysis, Free Pick

Cleveland Guardians vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Thursday, June 15th, 8:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Guardians +125/Padres -147
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Guardians on Thursday, June 15th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Guardians vs. Padres Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Steven Kwan	1	LF
Amed Rosario	2	SS
José Ramírez	3	3B
Josh Naylor	4	1B
Andrés Giménez	5	2B
Gabriel Arias	6	SS
Will Brennan	7	CF
Mike Zunino	8	C
Myles Straw	9	CF
Logan Allen	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Fernando Tatis Jr.	1	RF
Manny Machado	2	3B
Juan Soto	3	RF
Xander Bogaerts	4	SS
Nelson Cruz	5	DH
Jake Cronenworth	6	2B
Ha-Seong Kim	7	SS
Austin Nola	8	C
Trent Grisham	9	CF
Yu Darvish	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 31-36 SU / OU 27-39 / Runline 33-34
San Diego Padres: 33-34 SU / OU 22-43 / Runline 33-34

Heading into their game vs. the Padres, the Guardians have a record of 31-36 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL Central, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 9-11-1. At home, they have gone 16-17 and 15-19 on the road.

• The Guardians have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.4.
• The Guardians have been favored in 53.7% of their games and have runline records of 15-18 and 18-16 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 27-39.

On a record of 33-34, the Padres are 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are 7.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Guardians, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 16-16 while going 17-18 at home. San Diego’s overall series record is 7-10-4.

• The Padres have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
• The Padres have been favored in 68.7% of their games and have runline records of 16-19 and 17-15 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Padres have an over/under record of just 22-43.

Pitching Matchup




The Guardians will turn to starter Logan Allen who has an overall record of 3-2. Through nine appearances his ERA stands at 3.31 with a K/9 figure of 1.0. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.43 to go along with an OBP of .317.

Logan Allen’s last appearance on the mound resulted in a no-decision despite a strong outing. He pitched six innings, giving up only five runs on nine hits against the Astros. The Guardians went on to win the game with a score of 10-9.




The Padres will turn to starter Yu Darvish who has an overall record of 5-4. After 12 appearances, his ERA is 4.30, and he has a K/9 figure of 1.1. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.77 and an OBP of .298.

San Diego is hoping that Yu Darvish can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Rockies (9-6) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with four earned runs on five hits across 5 1/3 innings.

Guardians vs. Padres Offense Outlook

On offense, Cleveland is 27th in the league with an average of 3.8 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 24th, having hit 43 homers. Their overall batting average is .241, including .232 on the road and .238 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters vs. Righties




Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games




This season, the Padres have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 81 home runs in total (10th). Currently, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .229. The team’s slugging percentage is .401 at home and .373 on the road.

San Diego Padres Top Hitters vs. Lefties




San Diego Padres Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

In today’s matchup, there appears to be an advantage for Logan Ryan, the projected starter. Ryan has performed exceptionally well on the road this season, boasting a remarkable 1.90 earned run average (ERA) over four starts. Furthermore, he has never faced any player on the San Diego Padres’ roster, which often provides a favorable situation for the pitcher.

On the other hand, Ryan Weathers had a solid start to the season, allowing only five earned runs over 16 innings in his first three starts. However, he has struggled significantly in his last three outings, surrendering nine runs (8 earned) over 8 2/3 innings. The positive aspect for Weathers is that he will be pitching against one of the weakest offenses in either league, as the opposing team ranks among the bottom five in various hitting metrics.

Considering these factors, it seems likely that this game will feature a relatively low number of runs. Therefore, it would be a sensible choice to bet on the total runs scored being under 8.5.