Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick 7/14/23

Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers
Date: Friday, July 14th, 8:05 ET
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: BSSW
Money Line: Guardians +124/Rangers -146 (Bet for cheaper by reading this article!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Texas Rangers and the Guardians on Friday, July 14th at Globe Life Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Guardians vs. Rangers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Cleveland Guardians: 45-45 SU / OU 37-51 / Runline 44-46
Texas Rangers: 52-39 SU / OU 47-38 / Runline 53-38

The Guardians head into today’s game in first place in the AL Central on a record of 45-45. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 3-2. At home, Cleveland is 24-22 and 21-23 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 12-15-1.

• The Guardians have covered the runline in 48.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
• The Guardians have been favored in 56.7% of their games and have runline records of 21-25 and 23-21 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 37-51.

Against the Guardians, the Rangers are looking to shake a two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 52-39 is stil good for 1st in the AL West. At home, Texas has gone 27-18 and 25-21 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 17-9-2.

• The Rangers have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.6.
• The Rangers have been favored in 67.0% of their games and have runline records of 27-18 and 26-20 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 55% of the Rangers’ 91 games at 47-38.

Pitching Matchup

The Guardians will turn to starter Aaron Civale who has an overall record of 3-2. Through nine appearances his ERA stands at 2.56 with a K/9 figure of 0.8. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.62 to go along with an OBP of .265.

The Guardians picked up a win the last time Aaron Civale took the mound, taking down the Royals by a score of 3-0. In seven innings of work, he allowed two hits and zero earned runs while adding a W to his record.

With an overall record of 6-5, Jon Gray gets the start for Texas. His ERA stands at 3.29 with a K/9 figure of 0.8 after making 16 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.37 and an OBP of .286.

Gray’s last time on the mound came in a matchup vs. the Red Sox. In the game, he earned a quality start, giving up nine hits and three earned runs across six innings of work.

Guardians vs. Rangers Offense Outlook

The Guardians have played 90 games so far this season and are currently ranked 26th in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Cleveland is 27th, having hit the ball out of the park 60 times. Their overall batting average is .250, including .242 on the road and .247 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Top Bats

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

After 91 games played, the Rangers are 1st in the league with an average of 5.8 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 6th, on a total of 124 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .256 on the road and .281 at home, is .274.

Texas Rangers Top Bats

Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

Aaron Civale has been pretty good in five out of his last seven starts. The Texas Rangers limped into the break losing four of their last five games and only scoring more than three runs once over that span. Jon Gray started the season off like gangbusters, but had poor outings in three of his last four starts. Cleveland started to get it going before the break, winning three out of their last four starts. Lastly, the Guardians can put a pretty formidable batting order together against right-handed pitching. As noted in my excerpt on this article, I’m not a huge fan of playing the first couple days out of the all-star break, as players have been out of their routine and may be slow to get back into the groove. The underdog price of +129 is too good to pass up here considering all the positive variables Cleveland has going for them today.