Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks 9/23/18 Pick
Time: 4:10 PM ET
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Listed Pitchers: Kyle Freeland (Col) vs. Zack Godley (Az)
TV: TBS, FS Arizona, SportsNet Rocky Mountain
Moneyline: Rockies +110/D’Backs -120
The Rockies came through for us Saturday, cashing in as +160 dogs on the MLB betting lines. Can Colorado complete a sweep of Arizona Sunday? And how are we playing this game with our daily free MLB picks?
MLB Betting Line
Sunday’s MLB betting odds opened Arizona at around -105 for this game, with an over/under of 8 runs. The early betting action then bumped that line 15 cents, to around -120.
The D’Backs could also be found getting upwards of +165 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.
The Rockies have taken the first two games of this series, winning 6-2 Friday night and 5-1 Saturday night. Colorado put up a four-spot in the third inning Saturday, then got a quality start from Antonio Senzatela, on its way toward cashing in at +160 on the betting odds.
At 84-70 overall Colorado trails the first-place Dodgers by just a game and a half in the NL West, and sits a game and a half back of St. Louis in the battle for the second National League wild-card spot.
With Friday’s loss, the D’Backs are just 5-16 over their last 21 games. At 79-76 overall Arizona is now one loss or one St. Louis victory away from being eliminated from playoff contention.
The Rockies lead this season series with the Diamondbacks ten games to eight.
Saturday’s Starting Arms
Godley (14-10, 4.79), by our strict standards, is 13/30 on quality starts this season, but 0 for his last three. Eight days ago he gave up five runs - four earned – in less than four innings against Houston, and over his previous three starts he’s allowed 13 ER through just 12 2/3 innings. On the season Arizona is 16-14 with Godley.
In three starts this year against Colorado Godley allowed 10 ER and 14 hits through 14 2/3 innings. The Diamondbacks lost two of those games.
Lefty Freeland (15-7, 2.95) is 22/31 on quality starts this year, working on a streak of nine in a row. Tuesday he held the Dodgers to two runs through 6 2/3 innings, and over his last nine starts, he’s allowed 15 runs through 57 1/3 innings for a 2.35 ERA over that span. On the season the Rockies are 21-10 with Freeland.
Over four starts against Arizona this year Freeland allowed 15 runs and 19 hits through 22 2/3 innings. Colorado won three of those games.
We’re giving Freeland and the Rockies our handicapping check-mark for this pitching match-up.
Saturday’s Batting Splits
Colorado owns a .247/.316/.405 team batting average/OBP/slugging percentage split against right-handed pitching this season. But this lineup is still without Trevor Story (33 HR, 102 RBI), who’s missed the last four games nursing a sore elbow.
The Diamondbacks owns a .248/.319/.426 split against left-handed pitching this season.
We’ll give Arizona a very short edge with the sticks for Sunday.
The Rockies bullpen owns a 4.69 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP, but those figures are probably slightly inflated by the home ball-park this team plays in.
The Diamondbacks pen owns a 3.56 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP.
Arizona gets the check-mark in the comparison of the bullpens.
- Unders are 39-35 in games played at Chase Field this year, which are averaging 8.6 total runs per.
- Unders are 8-3 in Colorado’s last 10 games.
- Overs are 10-8 in Rockies-D’Backs games this season, 5-3 in the games played at Chase Field.
Free MLB Picks
Arizona gets two of our three handicapping check-marks for this game, but they’re close, and Colorado owns the edge in the pitching match-up. Also, the Rockies are chasing that playoff spot, while the D’Backs are just about to bow out. We cashed in with Colorado Saturday, and we’re going with the Rockies for our free MLB pick for Sunday, too.
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