Crew’s Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Pick
Date: Thursday, August 31st, 7:05 ET
Location: Nationals Park
TV: MASN
Money Line: Marlins -165/Nationals +138
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Washington Nationals and the Marlins on Thursday, August 31st at Nationals Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | -165 | -1.5 | O 8.5 (-118) |
| WSH | +138 | +1.5 | U 8.5 (-104) |
Marlins vs. Nationals Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 1 | 2B |
| Jorge Soler | 2 | DH |
| Josh Bell | 3 | 1B |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 4 | CF |
| Jake Burger | 5 | 3B |
| Bryan De La Cruz | 6 | LF |
| Jesús Sánchez | 7 | RF |
| Joey Wendle | 8 | SS |
| Jacob Stallings | 9 | C |
| Braxton Garrett | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | 1 | SS |
| Lane Thomas | 2 | RF |
| Joey Meneses | 3 | 1B |
| Keibert Ruiz | 4 | DH |
| Carter Kieboom | 5 | 3B |
| Riley Adams | 6 | C |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 7 | LF |
| Michael Chavis | 8 | 2B |
| Alex Call | 9 | CF |
| Joan Adon | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Miami Marlins: 66-67 SU / OU 59-71 / Runline 58-75
Heading into their game vs. the Nationals, the Marlins have a record of 66-67 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL East, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 19-21-2. At home, they have gone 38-31 and 28-36 on the road.
- The Marlins have six straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.5.
- The Marlins have been favored in 47.4% of their games and have runline records of 28-41 and 30-34 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 59-71.
With an overall record of 62-72, the Nationals are in 4th place in the NL East, trailing by 26 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Nationals have a mark of 33-36 while going 29-36 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 19-21-2.
- The Nationals have covered the runline in 56.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.8
- The Nationals have been favored in 7.5% of their games and have runline records of 31-34 and 45-24 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 64-66.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Garrett | 26 | 25 | 134 | 7-5 | 3.96 | 1.17 | 18 |
With an overall record of 7-5, Braxton Garrett gets the start for Miami. His ERA stands at 3.96 with a K/9 figure of 9.07 after making 26 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.67 and an OBP of .292.
Garrett’s last time on the mound came in a matchup vs. the Nationals. In the game, he earned a quality start, giving up seven hits and three earned runs across six innings of work.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan Adon | 6 | 4 | 24 | 2-0 | 5.25 | .96 | 4 |
Joan Adon has an overall record of 2-0, and will get the start for the Nationals. With six appearances, his ERA currently stands at 5.25, while his K/9 figure is 7.5. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.64 and an OBP of .240.
A quality start and a win were added to Joan Adon’s record in his previous outing against the Marlins. The Nationals went on to win by a score of 7-4. Adon allowed zero runs and three hits during six innings.
Marlins vs. Nationals Offense Outlook
The Marlins have played 135 games and currently hold the 25th spot in the league with an average of 4 runs per game. With 127 home runs, Miami is 26th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .232 on the road and .265 at home, is .257.
Miami Marlins Top Hitters vs. Righties
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | .356 | 4 | .463 | .372 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | .253 | 14 | .429 | .316 |
| Jorge Soler | .232 | 21 | .461 | .331 |
| Josh Bell | .237 | 12 | .398 | .308 |
| Jake Burger | .239 | 18 | .493 | .335 |
Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler | .271 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .708 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | .188 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .375 |
| Josh Bell | .146 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .396 |
| Jacob Stallings | .354 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .625 |
| Luis Arraez | .188 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .188 |
The Nationals have played 134 games so far and have an average of 4.3 runs per game, putting them 18th in the league. Washington has hit 121 home runs, ranking them 27th in the MLB. Their overall batting average is .257, while hitting .242 on the road and .265 at home.
Washington Nationals Team Hitting Stats
| Team | Games | Runs | HR | BA | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 134 | 4.3 (18th) | 121 (27th) | .257 (7th) | .317 (14th) | .317 (14th) |
Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | .227 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .227 |
| Joey Meneses | .417 | 8 | 2 | 0 | .533 |
| Keibert Ruiz | .396 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .583 |
| Lane Thomas | .100 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .250 |
| Carter Kieboom | .188 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .375 |
Free MLB Pick
Just last week these two pitchers were the starters in Miami and while the total soared over the 8.5 run line, both pitched well. Adon threw six scoreless innings while Garrett also went six innings allowing three runs. Similar performances and a decent job by the bullpens and I think we can stay under the number. Take the Under 8.5 -105
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