Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds & Predictions 9/2/22

by | Sep 2, 2022 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday September 2nd, 08:15 ET

Location: Busch Stadium

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Money Line: Cubs +195 / Cardinals -240 (Betonline - Check out their 500K NFL Handicapping Contest!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Chicago: Adrian Sampson (1-4, 3.97)
St. Louis: Jordan Montgomery (3-3, 3.69)

Cubs Projected Lineup

Nelson Velazquez RF
P.J. Higgins C
Franmil Reyes P
Seiya Suzuki RF
Nico Hoerner SS
Christopher Morel 3B
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Nick Madrigal 2B
Adrian Sampson P

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Paul DeJong SS
Yadier Molina C
Albert Pujols 1B
Lars Nootbaar RF
Tommy Edman SS
Nolan Arenado 3B
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Dylan Carlson CF
Tyler O’Neill CF
Jordan Montgomery P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Chicago Cubs: 56-75-0 SU / OU 57-64-10 / Run Line W/L 68-63-0
St. Louis Cardinals: 76-55-0 SU / OU 63-64-4 / Run Line W/L 75-56-0

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Chicago Cubs on Friday September 2nd at Busch Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-240), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Chicago will be looking to tack on another win, after taking down Toronto by the score of 7-5. For the game, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5 runs on 7 hits. The Cubs benefited from an offense that generated 7 runs on 10 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 180.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.5 runs. On the season, Chicago’s over-under record is 57-64-10.

In their last 5 games, the Cubs are below .500, at 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -10. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 4.15. Chicago’s overall series record is just 17-20-5.

St. Louis is coming off a 2 run win over the Reds (5-3). For the game, the pitching staff held the Reds to 3 runs on 14 hits. Offensively, they finished with 5 runs on 8 hits. In the game, St. Louis was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -250.0. So far, the team has won 70.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Cardinals and Reds’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 63-64-4.

Across their last 5 contests, the Cardinals are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +11 (last 5). Overall, the Cardinals are averaging 4.92 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 6.2 runs per contest. On the season, St. Louis has won more than half of their series, going 22-10-8.

Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send Adrian Sampson to the mound with an overall record of 1-4. So far, Sampson has put together an ERA of 3.97. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.66 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.271. So far, Sampson has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.97 home runs per 9 innings. This season, he has struck out 18.0 of the batters he has faced. This has led to a per-game average of 3.57. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.33 walks per contest.

In today’s game, St. Louis turns to starter Jordan Montgomery. For the year, he has a record of 3-3. So far, Montgomery has put together an ERA of 3.69. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.44 innings. Montgomery comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.236. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above-average rate against Montgomery. This year, he is allowing 1.18 HRs per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Jordan Montgomery is averaging 4.62, on a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.81 walks per outing.

Chicago vs St. Louis History

Today’s matchup between the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals will be their 17th meeting of the season. Currently, St. Louis is winning the season series 10-6. Through 16 games, the series over-under record is 7-9, with the average run total sitting at 9.0 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.94 runs. Dating back to last season, St. Louis picked up 10 wins compared to 9, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-9. Last year, the Cubs and Cardinals averaged 9.0 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.11 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Cubs are 6-14 in their last 20 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games.
  • Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Leading into Friday’s NL Central showdown, between Chicago and St. Louis, the Cardinals are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Although Jordan Montgomery is coming off a rough outing vs Atlanta, I expect him to get back on track vs the Cubs. On the other side, Adrian Sampson has pitched well for Chicago but is running into a red-hot Cardinals lineup.

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