Cubs vs. Dodgers Best Bet 7/7/22

by | Jul 7, 2022 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thursday, July 7th, 10:10 ET

Location: Dodger Stadium

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Money Line: Cubs +215 / Dodgers -265 (Bovada - 50% bonus! Rebates on ALL wagers; even if you lose! Fast payouts!)

Total Line: 8.5un -120

STARTING PITCHING

Chicago: Mark Leiter Jr. (2-2, 4.85)
Los Angeles: Tony Gonsolin (10-0, 1.54)

Cubs Projected Lineup

Yan Gomes C
Nelson Velazquez CF
Nico Hoerner SS
Seiya Suzuki RF
Patrick Wisdom 3B
David Bote 2B
Ian Happ LF
Christopher Morel 2B
Willson Contreras C
Mark Leiter Jr. P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Cody Bellinger CF
Jake Lamb LF
Max Muncy 3B
Mookie Betts RF
Justin Turner 3B
Gavin Lux 2B
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Tony Gonsolin P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Chicago Cubs: 34-48-0 SU / OU 40-39-3 / Run Line W/L 42-40-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 52-29-0 SU / OU 31-43-7 / Run Line W/L 47-34-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Chicago Cubs on Thursday, July 7th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-265), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

In the Chicago Cubs’ last game, they picked up a 2-1 win over the Brewers. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 6 hits. On offense, Chicago’s lineup put together a total of 6 hits, leading to 2 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 220.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Cubs and Brewers fell short of the over-under betting line of 7.5 runs. Even after this game, Chicago’s overall over-under record sits at 40-39-3.

The Cubs come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +3. Chicago has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.4 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.38. Chicago’s overall series record is just 9-12-5.

The Dodgers will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Rockies by a score of 2-1. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Rockies to 1 run and 1 hit. The Dodgers offense ended the game with 2 runs on 9 hits. Heading into action, Los Angeles was the favorite at -220.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 78 games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. Combined, the Dodgers and Rockies’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 31-43-7.

Across their last 5 contests, the Dodgers are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +12. Los Angeles is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.8 runs per game, compared to a season long mark of 5.00. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 17-8-1.

Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send Mark Leiter Jr. to the mound with an overall record of 2-2. So far, Jr. has put together an ERA of 4.85. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 2.65 innings. Through 11 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.222. Jr. is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 0.92 per 9 innings. Jr. has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 2.82 K’s per game on a K rate of 25.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.94 walks per contest.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send Tony Gonsolin to the mound with an overall record of 10-0. Through 15 appearances, Gonsolin has an ERA of just 1.54 while averaging 5.41 innings per appearance. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.156 against the right-hander. Home runs have not been an issue for Gonsolin, as he is giving up just 0.78 per 9. On the season, Tony Gonsolin has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. This has led to an average of 5.13 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Gonsolin, as he is giving up 2.53 walks per outing.

Chicago vs Los Angeles History

Today’s matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Los Angeles Dodgers will be their 4th meeting of the season. Currently, Los Angeles is winning the season series 3-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-0. The average run total in these games is 7.29 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.67 runs. Last season, Chicago picked up the series win, 4 games to 3. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-3. Last year, the Cubs and Dodgers averaged 7.29 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.29 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games
  • LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s National League matchup between Chicago and Los Angeles, the Dodgers are the favorite to pick up the win. Even though the Cubs are coming off a game in which they took down reigning Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes and the Brewers, I don’t expect Mark Leiter Jr. to be able to hold down the Dodgers. I like Los Angeles and Tony Gonsolin and to cover the runline.

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