Cubs vs. Twins Total Pick for 5/13/23

by | Last updated May 13, 2023 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Saturday, May 13th, 2:10 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: BSN
Money Line: Cubs +144/Twins -173
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Cubs on Saturday, May 13th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
CHC +144 +1.5 O 7.5 (-113)
MIN -173 -1.5 U 7.5 (-107)

Cubs vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Nick Madrigal 1 2B
Dansby Swanson 2 SS
Ian Happ 3 LF
Cody Bellinger 4 CF
Seiya Suzuki 5 RF
Trey Mancini 6 1B
Matt Mervis 7 1B
Patrick Wisdom 8 3B
Tucker Barnhart 9 C
Hayden Wesneski SP


Batting Order Position
Max Kepler 1 RF
Carlos Correa 2 SS
Jorge Polanco 3 2B
Byron Buxton 4 DH
Joey Gallo 5 RF
Kyle Farmer 6 SS
Nick Gordon 7 LF
Christian Vázquez 8 C
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Joe Ryan SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 19-19 SU / OU 17-20 / Runline 22-16
Minnesota Twins: 21-18 SU / OU 15-20 / Runline 21-18

On a record of 19-19, the Cubs are 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they are two games out of the division lead. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 8-8 while going 11-11 at home. Chicago’s overall series record is 6-5.

  • The Cubs have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.4.
  • The Cubs have been favored in 57.9% of their games and have runline records of 12-10 and 10-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Cubs have an over/under record of just 17-20.

Even though the Twins are in first place in the AL Central, they have gone just 4-6 over their last ten games. Minnesota’s overall record currently sits at 21-18, including going 9-10 on the road and 12-8 at home. Their series record stands at 6-5.

  • The Twins have covered the runline in 53.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Twins have been favored in 69.2% of their games and have runline records of 10-10 and 11-8 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 15-20.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Hayden Wesneski 7 7 34 2-1 3.93 1.25 6


As he prepares to take on the Twins, Chicago starter Hayden Wesneski has recorded a quality start in each of his last two outings. Overall, he has made seven trips to the mound and has a recorded of 2-1 and ERA of 3.93. For the season, opponents have batting average of .265 against him, including an OPS of .736. Wesneski’s strikeout total currently sits at 23 while issuing eight this year.

In his last appearance, Hayden Wesneski pitched a solid six innings and gave up one run, but did not receive a decision. Despite his efforts, the Cubs lost to the Marlins by a score of 5-4.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Joe Ryan 7 7 44 5-1 2.46 .84 4


Entering with a record of 5-1, Joe Ryan is making his 8th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 2.46 on a batting average allowed of .193. On the road, he is 3-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 2-0 at home on an ERA of 3.64. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .292 against him.

Ryan will look to build on his previous start, as he tossed six innings and allowed two earned runs on eight hits. However, the Twins fell by a score of 2-0 to the Guardians.

Cubs vs. Twins Offense Outlook

Chicago is currently ranked 9th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 5.0 runs per game this season. Their home run count is around the league average, with 46 long balls hit so far. The Cubs’ current batting average of .269 places them 3rd in the league, while they are 2nd on the road compared to 10th at home.

Chicago Cubs Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Cody Bellinger .279 .348 .515 20 7 9
Patrick Wisdom .248 .348 .607 23 12 2
Nico Hoerner .303 .348 .395 19 2 12


Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Dansby Swanson .267 6 4 1 .613
Christopher Morel .350 6 3 2 .750
Patrick Wisdom .479 4 3 1 .667
Ian Happ .333 8 2 0 .413
Cody Bellinger .170 4 1 0 .210


On offense, Minnesota is 21st in the league with an average of 4.2 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 10th, having hit 47 homers. Their overall batting average is .218, including .191 on the road and .233 at home.

Minnesota Twins Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Twins 39 4.2 (21st) 47 (10th) .218 (30th) .298 (28th) .298 (28th)


Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Max Kepler .080 2 3 1 .240
Alex Kirilloff .267 4 1 0 .267
Carlos Correa .167 3 0 0 .333
Kyle Farmer .305 3 2 1 .639
Joey Gallo .183 3 1 0 .250


Free MLB Pick

Hayden Wesneski has allowed one earned run or less in four of his last five starts. Joe Ryan has allowed one earned run or less in three of his last five starts. In one of his other two starts, he gave up two runs. Both pitchers have sparking ERA’s in day games over the course of their short careers. Neither Chicago nor Minnesota are hitting the ball very well right now. Lastly, it’s an interleague game so neither team is familiar with the other team’s pitchers. I’m betting UNDER 8 runs (I bought half run to make the odds -138).

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