Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins Expert Pick 7/29/23

Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Saturday, July 29th, 4:10 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: FS1
Money Line: Tigers +134/Marlins -159
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Tigers on Saturday, July 29th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Tigers vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Zach McKinstry	1	3B
Riley Greene	2	DH
Spencer Torkelson	3	1B
Kerry Carpenter	4	RF
Matt Vierling	5	CF
Javier Báez	6	SS
Nick Maton	7	2B
Akil Baddoo	8	LF
Eric Haase	9	C
Beau Brieske	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Luis Arraez	1	2B
Jorge Soler	2	DH
Garrett Cooper	3	1B
Jesús Sánchez	4	RF
Bryan De La Cruz	5	LF
Jean Segura	6	3B
Joey Wendle	7	SS
Jacob Stallings	8	C
Dane Myers	9	CF
Johnny Cueto	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Detroit Tigers: 46-58 SU / OU 54-46 / Runline 55-49
Miami Marlins: 56-48 SU / OU 49-52 / Runline 48-56

Heading into their game vs. the Marlins, the Tigers have a record of 46-58 and have dropped four straight games. In the AL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 15-17-3. At home, they have gone 22-30 and 24-28 on the road.

• The Tigers have covered the runline in 52.9% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.9
• The Tigers have been favored in 18.3% of their games and have runline records of 26-26 and 29-23 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 54% of the Tigers’ 104 games at 54-46.

On a record of 56-48, the Marlins are 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they are 10.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Tigers, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 24-28 while going 32-20 at home. Miami’s overall series record is 17-15-1.

• The Marlins have covered the runline in 46.2% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.2
• The Marlins have been favored in 49.0% of their games and have runline records of 22-30 and 26-26 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 49-52.

Pitching Matchup




Beau Brieske enters today’s game having made five appearances, but has yet to factor into a decision. With an ERA of 4.76 and no home runs given up, his current slugging percentage allowed is .435, and his WOBA is .312. This season, Brieske has a batting average allowed of .261.

Beau Brieske is coming off an outing in which he gave up zero runs across just 1 1/3 innings of work. Brieske took a no-decision in the Tigers’ 7-6 loss to the Angels.




Johnny Cueto has taken the mound three times this season and has a record of 0-1. Cueto is on a two game streak of not allowing a home-run. His current slugging percentage allowed sits at .371 and he has struckout a total of nine batters. So far, his WHIP sits at .90.

In his last appearance, Johnny Cueto pitched a solid six innings and gave up one run, but did not receive a decision. Despite his efforts, the Marlins lost to the Rockies by a score of 4-3.

Tigers vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

With an average of 3.9 runs per game, Detroit is ranked 27th in the league. In terms of power numbers, the Tigers have gone deep 96 times so far, placing them in the middle of the pack for home runs (22nd). Their current batting average of .231 ranks 21st in the league. While their home batting average is 24th, they rank 29th on the road.

Detroit Tigers Team Hitting Stats




Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games




On offense, Miami is 25th in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 24th, having hit 93 homers. Their overall batting average is .264, including .245 on the road and .273 at home.

Miami Marlins Team Hitting Stats




Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Marlins’ starter Johnny Cueto looked good in his first MLB start since April, going six innings allowing one run on jsut two hits while striking out eight, but there’s no guarantee that he’ll be able to repeat that perfromance against the Tigers. Detroit has dropped four stright and six of eight, but it hasn’t been ice-cold bats. It’s been its pitching staff that has allowed five or more runs in all six losses. They give the ball to Beau Brieske who has pitched well in his last three starts alowing six runs over 18 1/3 innings pitched. However, two of those starts came against Kansas City and on versus the White Sox. Not the toughest lineups. Brieske hasn’t started since since the 12th getting his action out of the pen, so look for the bullpen to get maybe a handful of innings today. Take the Over 8.