Diamondbacks vs Cubs Odds & Picks 5/20/22

by | May 20, 2022 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, May 20th, 02:20 ET

Location: Wrigley Field

TV: MLBN (out-of-market only)

Money Line: Diamondbacks +122 / Cubs -145 (BAS - You can bet on games for cheaper there!)

Total Line: 11.0

STARTING PITCHING

Arizona: Humberto Castellanos (2-1, 4.15)
Chicago: Kyle Hendricks (2-3, 4.03)

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Jordan Luplow RF
Alek Thomas CF
Josh Rojas 3B
Ketel Marte CF
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Daulton Varsho C
David Peralta LF
Christian Walker 1B
Pavin Smith RF
Humberto Castellanos P

Cubs Projected Lineup

Patrick Wisdom 3B
Jonathan Villar 2B
Alfonso Rivas 1B
Seiya Suzuki RF
Frank Schwindel 1B
Andrelton Simmons SS
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Rafael Ortega CF
Kyle Hendricks P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Arizona Diamondbacks: 19-21-0 SU / OU 15-24-1 / Run Line W/L 23-17-0
Chicago Cubs: 15-22-0 SU / OU 15-19-3 / Run Line W/L 20-17-0

The Chicago Cubs host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday, May 20th at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 02:20 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Chicago as the favorite (-145), with an OU line set at 11.0.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Arizona will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Chicago Cubs by the score of 3-1. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 4 hits. On offense, Arizona’s lineup put together a total of 6 hits, leading to 3 runs. Arizona picked up the win, despite getting 105.0 on the moneyline. Together, Diamondbacks and Cubs stayed below the OU line set at 9.0 runs. So far, Arizona has been a good candidate to fall below the betting lines, as their over-under record sits at just 15-24-1.

After their 5 most recent games, the Diamondbacks have gone just 1-4. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -11. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 3.8 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 3.58. Arizona’s overall series record is just 5-5-3.

Chicago is coming off a 2 run loss to the Diamondbacks 3-1. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Diamondbacks to 3 runs and 6 hits. The Cubs’ offense ended the game with just 1 run on 4 hits. Chicago dropped the game despite being favored at -125.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 11 games, winning at a rate of 36.0%. With this result, the Cubs and the Diamondbacks combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Now, Chicago had an over-under record of 15-19-3.

In their last 5 games, the Cubs have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 14. Chicago is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.4 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.03. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 4-7-2.

Pitching Matchup

Humberto Castellanos gets the start for the Diamondbacks, with an overall record of 2-1. To date, Castellanos has an ERA of 4.15 while lasting an average of 3.76 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.252. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Castellanos, as he is allowing just 0.9 per 9 innings. Castellanos has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 17.0% and a per game average of 2.625. Throughout the season, Castellanos has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.37 per contest.

The Chicago Cubs will send Kyle Hendricks to the mound with an overall record of 2-3. So far, Hendricks has put together an ERA of 4.03. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.53 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.243. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Hendricks, averaging 1.22 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Kyle Hendricks has a strong strikeout percentage of 17.0%, including a per game average of 4.0. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.02 walks per outing.

Arizona vs Chicago History

For the season, Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs will be playing their 4th game of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Arizona and Chicago, each have 2 wins. Through 4 games, the series’ over-under record is 0-4, with the average run total sitting at 8.17 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 1.5 runs. Chicago won last year’s head to head series grabbing 4 wins to 2. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 2-4. Last year, the Diamondbacks and Cubs averaged 8.17 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.5 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs’s last 7 games

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs Prediction

In today’s matchup between Arizona and Chicago, look for the Cubs to pick up the win. Chicago starter Kyle Hendricks has been great in his past 2 outings, giving up just 1 run combined. As a team, Arizona is one of the worst hitting units against right-handed pitching. I like the Cubs on the moneyline.

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